Week 1, 2026

Every published likelihood for this week, scored against the result. The measurements for the whole season are on the track record.

16 calls 10 hit 6 miss

Published game calls with outcomes, week 1
Game	Published winner	Home likelihood	Final score	Status
ARI at LAC	LAC	58%	26 to 14	Miss 58%
ATL at PIT	PIT	53%	13 to 20	Hit 53%
BAL at IND	BAL	46%	41 to 23	Hit 54%
BUF at HOU	BUF	45%	36 to 31	Hit 55%
CHI at CAR	CHI	41%	59 to 37	Hit 59%
CLE at JAX	JAX	67%	10 to 34	Hit 67%
DAL at NYG	DAL	45%	20 to 28	Miss 55%
DEN at KC	DEN	48%	10 to 31	Miss 52%
GB at MIN	MIN	56%	22 to 39	Hit 56%
MIA at LV	MIA	39%	13 to 27	Miss 61%
NE at SEA	SEA	59%	10 to 13	Hit 59%
NO at DET	DET	57%	30 to 31	Hit 57%
NYJ at TEN	TEN	54%	23 to 10	Miss 54%
SF at LA	LA	66%	27 to 7	Miss 66%
TB at CIN	CIN	57%	27 to 33	Hit 57%
WAS at PHI	PHI	65%	22 to 24	Hit 65%

Source: the pinned published track_record.json artifact. Pending calls are not included in scored measurements.