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↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

Published evidence · 2026

Week 10

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
10 WAS Commanders at NYG Giants NYG 55% NYG by 1 WAS 24 · NYG 21 Miss 55% -4 0.303
10 NE Patriots at DET Lions DET 65% DET by 5 NE 10 · DET 35 Hit 65% +20 0.125
10 MIN Vikings at GB Packers GB 63% GB by 6 MIN 30 · GB 10 Miss 63% -26 0.396
10 BUF Bills at NYJ Jets BUF 56% BUF by 3 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 CAR Panthers at NO Saints NO 55% NO by 2 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 HOU Texans at CLE Browns HOU 58% HOU by 3 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 JAX Jaguars at TEN Titans JAX 60% JAX by 4 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 KC Chiefs at ATL Falcons KC 51% tie Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 MIA Dolphins at IND Colts IND 64% IND by 4 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
10 LA Rams at ARI Cardinals LA 60% LA by 3 Sun 4:05 PM Pending · ·
10 SEA Seahawks at LV Raiders SEA 56% SEA by 2 Sun 4:05 PM Pending · ·
10 SF 49ers at DAL Cowboys SF 56% SF by 2 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
10 PIT Steelers at CIN Bengals CIN 57% CIN by 4 Sun 8:20 PM Pending · ·
10 LAC Chargers at BAL Ravens BAL 59% BAL by 6 Mon 8:15 PM Pending · ·

14 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

WAS at NYG NYG 55% · by 1 Miss
WAS 24 · NYG 21 err -4 Brier 0.303
NE at DET DET 65% · by 5 Hit
NE 10 · DET 35 err +20 Brier 0.125
MIN at GB GB 63% · by 6 Miss
MIN 30 · GB 10 err -26 Brier 0.396
BUF at NYJ BUF 56% · by 3 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
CAR at NO NO 55% · by 2 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
HOU at CLE HOU 58% · by 3 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
JAX at TEN JAX 60% · by 4 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
KC at ATL KC 51% · tie Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
MIA at IND IND 64% · by 4 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
LA at ARI LA 60% · by 3 Pending
Sun 4:05 PM err · Brier ·
SEA at LV SEA 56% · by 2 Pending
Sun 4:05 PM err · Brier ·
SF at DAL SF 56% · by 2 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
PIT at CIN CIN 57% · by 4 Pending
Sun 8:20 PM err · Brier ·
LAC at BAL BAL 59% · by 6 Pending
Mon 8:15 PM err · Brier ·

14 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

How this page works

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A near coin flip still counts: if the side we leaned toward wins, it is a Hit; if not, a Miss. A tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Sun Nov 15 · 4:33 PM ET · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b

Scored Sun Nov 15 · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b