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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

Published evidence · 2026

Week 8

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
8 CAR Panthers at GB Packers GB 61% GB by 4 CAR 19 · GB 27 Hit 61% +4 0.149
8 ARI Cardinals at DAL Cowboys DAL 63% DAL by 6 ARI 33 · DAL 30 Miss 63% -9 0.396
8 ATL Falcons at TB Buccaneers TB 54% TB by 2 ATL 0 · TB 16 Hit 54% +14 0.208
8 BAL Ravens at BUF Bills BUF 60% BUF by 4 BAL 10 · BUF 36 Hit 60% +22 0.162
8 CLE Browns at PIT Steelers PIT 57% PIT by 2 CLE 6 · PIT 27 Hit 57% +19 0.185
8 IND Colts at JAX Jaguars JAX 67% JAX by 7 IND 7 · JAX 42 Hit 67% +28 0.106
8 LV Raiders at NYJ Jets NYJ 52% NYJ by 1 LV 38 · NYJ 33 Miss 52% -6 0.270
8 MIN Vikings at DET Lions DET 61% DET by 6 MIN 15 · DET 19 Hit 61% -2 0.154
8 TEN Titans at CIN Bengals CIN 73% CIN by 12 TEN 36 · CIN 43 Hit 73% -5 0.072
8 LAC Chargers at LA Rams LA 66% LA by 7 LAC 9 · LA 24 Hit 66% +8 0.117
8 KC Chiefs at DEN Broncos DEN 54% DEN by 1 KC 24 · DEN 28 Hit 54% +3 0.209
8 NE Patriots at MIA Dolphins NE 56% NE by 2 NE 24 · MIA 19 Hit 56% +3 0.196
8 PHI Eagles at WAS Commanders WAS 60% WAS by 4 PHI 10 · WAS 27 Hit 60% +14 0.162
8 CHI Bears at SEA Seahawks SEA 56% SEA by 2 CHI 34 · SEA 17 Miss 56% -19 0.313

14 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

CAR at GB GB 61% · by 4 Hit
CAR 19 · GB 27 err +4 Brier 0.149
ARI at DAL DAL 63% · by 6 Miss
ARI 33 · DAL 30 err -9 Brier 0.396
ATL at TB TB 54% · by 2 Hit
ATL 0 · TB 16 err +14 Brier 0.208
BAL at BUF BUF 60% · by 4 Hit
BAL 10 · BUF 36 err +22 Brier 0.162
CLE at PIT PIT 57% · by 2 Hit
CLE 6 · PIT 27 err +19 Brier 0.185
IND at JAX JAX 67% · by 7 Hit
IND 7 · JAX 42 err +28 Brier 0.106
LV at NYJ NYJ 52% · by 1 Miss
LV 38 · NYJ 33 err -6 Brier 0.270
MIN at DET DET 61% · by 6 Hit
MIN 15 · DET 19 err -2 Brier 0.154
TEN at CIN CIN 73% · by 12 Hit
TEN 36 · CIN 43 err -5 Brier 0.072
LAC at LA LA 66% · by 7 Hit
LAC 9 · LA 24 err +8 Brier 0.117
KC at DEN DEN 54% · by 1 Hit
KC 24 · DEN 28 err +3 Brier 0.209
NE at MIA NE 56% · by 2 Hit
NE 24 · MIA 19 err +3 Brier 0.196
PHI at WAS WAS 60% · by 4 Hit
PHI 10 · WAS 27 err +14 Brier 0.162
CHI at SEA SEA 56% · by 2 Miss
CHI 34 · SEA 17 err -19 Brier 0.313

14 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

How this page works

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A near coin flip still counts: if the side we leaned toward wins, it is a Hit; if not, a Miss. A tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Sun Nov 15 · 4:33 PM ET · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b

Scored Sun Nov 15 · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b