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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

Published evidence · 2026

Week 9

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
9 JAX Jaguars at BAL Ravens BAL 51% BAL by 1 JAX 33 · BAL 10 Miss 51% -24 0.264
9 CIN Bengals at ATL Falcons CIN 53% CIN by 1 CIN 34 · ATL 17 Hit 53% +16 0.223
9 CLE Browns at NO Saints NO 60% NO by 3 CLE 22 · NO 23 Hit 60% -2 0.159
9 DAL Cowboys at IND Colts DAL 51% tie DAL 27 · IND 23 Hit 51% +4 0.241
9 DEN Broncos at CAR Panthers CAR 54% CAR by 1 DEN 26 · CAR 21 Miss 54% -6 0.287
9 DET Lions at MIA Dolphins DET 65% DET by 6 DET 19 · MIA 9 Hit 65% +4 0.120
9 LA Rams at WAS Commanders LA 55% LA by 2 LA 20 · WAS 13 Hit 55% +6 0.206
9 NYG Giants at PHI Eagles PHI 54% PHI by 1 NYG 19 · PHI 11 Miss 54% -9 0.296
9 NYJ Jets at KC Chiefs KC 60% KC by 5 NYJ 12 · KC 35 Hit 60% +19 0.156
9 HOU Texans at LAC Chargers HOU 55% HOU by 2 HOU 44 · LAC 22 Hit 55% +20 0.199
9 ARI Cardinals at SEA Seahawks SEA 61% SEA by 5 ARI 3 · SEA 17 Hit 61% +9 0.155
9 GB Packers at NE Patriots GB 51% tie GB 45 · NE 27 Hit 51% +18 0.243
9 LV Raiders at SF 49ers SF 61% SF by 5 LV 17 · SF 38 Hit 61% +16 0.152
9 TB Buccaneers at CHI Bears CHI 59% CHI by 4 TB 24 · CHI 27 Hit 59% -1 0.171
9 BUF Bills at MIN Vikings BUF 55% BUF by 2 BUF 23 · MIN 6 Hit 55% +15 0.201

15 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

JAX at BAL BAL 51% · by 1 Miss
JAX 33 · BAL 10 err -24 Brier 0.264
CIN at ATL CIN 53% · by 1 Hit
CIN 34 · ATL 17 err +16 Brier 0.223
CLE at NO NO 60% · by 3 Hit
CLE 22 · NO 23 err -2 Brier 0.159
DAL at IND DAL 51% · tie Hit
DAL 27 · IND 23 err +4 Brier 0.241
DEN at CAR CAR 54% · by 1 Miss
DEN 26 · CAR 21 err -6 Brier 0.287
DET at MIA DET 65% · by 6 Hit
DET 19 · MIA 9 err +4 Brier 0.120
LA at WAS LA 55% · by 2 Hit
LA 20 · WAS 13 err +6 Brier 0.206
NYG at PHI PHI 54% · by 1 Miss
NYG 19 · PHI 11 err -9 Brier 0.296
NYJ at KC KC 60% · by 5 Hit
NYJ 12 · KC 35 err +19 Brier 0.156
HOU at LAC HOU 55% · by 2 Hit
HOU 44 · LAC 22 err +20 Brier 0.199
ARI at SEA SEA 61% · by 5 Hit
ARI 3 · SEA 17 err +9 Brier 0.155
GB at NE GB 51% · tie Hit
GB 45 · NE 27 err +18 Brier 0.243
LV at SF SF 61% · by 5 Hit
LV 17 · SF 38 err +16 Brier 0.152
TB at CHI CHI 59% · by 4 Hit
TB 24 · CHI 27 err -1 Brier 0.171
BUF at MIN BUF 55% · by 2 Hit
BUF 23 · MIN 6 err +15 Brier 0.201

15 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

How this page works

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A near coin flip still counts: if the side we leaned toward wins, it is a Hit; if not, a Miss. A tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Sun Nov 15 · 4:33 PM ET · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b

Scored Sun Nov 15 · run 2026-10-reprice-2fb9df4b