Data and methodology

A run reads the latest ingested sources, forecasts the week, and writes one set of JSON artifacts with a manifest that names the run, its kind, its engine versions and when it was made. The site serves the newest run; recent older runs stay at their permalink.

Nothing is recomputed on request: two people who open the same page see the same published numbers. The in-game line is the one live exception.

A player with no published projection shows the reason instead of a guess: not enough sample, out for the week, or a position the model does not rank yet. A game with no closing line shows no market line.

The range on every game card runs from the 5th to the 95th percentile of the forecast; a player's floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th. A wide range is the model telling you it does not know; for players, the track record shows how often the actual points land between the floor and ceiling.