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Texans at Titans, Week 5 2026

Texans 0-4 26
HOU
26 FINAL 3
Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 11 · CBS Nissan Stadium
TEN
Titans 0-4 3
HOU 52%
TEN 48%
Hit 52% at kickoff · HOU by 1 52% at kickoff · HOU by 1 Market closed HOU -6.5 · O/U 37.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 50 to 55%: 14 of 24 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT
HOU-----26
TEN-----3

WHERE IT LANDED

We said HOU by 1. It finished HOU by 23.

HOU by 24tieTEN by 23

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

HOU C.Stroud QB 16.2 → 20.9
HOU W.Marks RB 7.0 → 10.5
TEN W.Robinson WR 6.7 → 8.3

Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.

Fantasy points, half PPR.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 52%
Titans Texans

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
N.Collins WR11 10.3 8.1
C.Stroud QB13 16.2 20.9
D.Schultz TE16 6.6 4.5
D.Montgomery RB23 7.7 1.1
W.Marks RB27 7.0 10.5
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
T.Pollard RB20 9.6 5.2
C.Tate WR25 8.2 1.1
C.Ward QB26 14.0 5.0
G.Helm TE34 3.3 0.0
W.Robinson WR36 6.7 8.3

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 11:58 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa