TB 24 DAL 16 Final · Prime Video PHI 17 JAX 19 Final · NFL Net CHI 7 GB 31 Final · Fox CIN 31 MIA 24 Final · Fox CLE 12 NYJ 17 Final · CBS HOU 26 TEN 3 Final · CBS IND 22 PIT 34 Final · CBS LV 17 NE 45 Final · CBS MIN 23 NO 13 Final · Fox NYG 27 WAS 27 FINAL · OT · TIE DEN 23 LAC 17 Final · CBS DET 45 ARI 21 Final · Fox SF 32 SEA 29 Final · Fox BAL 30 ATL 23 Final · NBC BUF 57% LA 43% Mon 8:15
Raiders at Patriots, Week 5 2026
Raiders 3-1 17
LV 17 FINAL 45
Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 11 · CBS Gillette Stadium NE
Patriots 2-2 45
LV 46%
NE 54%
Hit 54% at kickoff · NE by 2 54% at kickoff · NE by 2 Market closed NE -3.5 · O/U 45.5
Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.
Games we called at 50 to 55%: 14 of 24 hit, this one included · Track record →
LINESCORE
Team1234OTT
LV-----17
NE-----45
WHERE IT LANDED
We said NE by 2. It finished NE by 28.
LV by 21tieNE by 28
Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
BIGGEST SWINGS
Not published yet.
TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
NE D.Maye QB 16.3 → 39.5
LV B.Bowers TE 10.6 → 21.0
NE R.Stevenson RB 9.8 → 16.0
Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.
Fantasy points, half PPR.
WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL
kickoff 54%
Not published yet.
Not published yet.
Patriots Raiders hover a node for the clock, score and both readings
Tap a node for the clock, score and both readings.
PLAYERS
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
B.Bowers TE3 10.6 21.0
A.Jeanty RB12 12.1 9.2
M.Mayer TE12 7.2 0.7
K.Cousins QB19 15.2 13.7
T.Tucker WR35 6.7 5.5
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
D.Maye QB11 16.3 39.5
R.Stevenson RB17 9.8 16.0
H.Henry TE21 4.8 11.9
T.Henderson RB34 5.9 3.1
R.Doubs WR39 6.3 2.1
Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 11:58 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa
Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa