↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

TB 24 DAL 16 Final Prime Video Final · Prime Video PHI 17 JAX 19 Final NFL Net Final · NFL Net CHI 7 GB 31 Final Fox Final · Fox CIN 31 MIA 24 Final Fox Final · Fox CLE 12 NYJ 17 Final CBS Final · CBS HOU 26 TEN 3 Final CBS Final · CBS IND 22 PIT 34 Final CBS Final · CBS LV 17 NE 45 Final CBS Final · CBS MIN 23 NO 13 Final Fox Final · Fox NYG 27 WAS 27 FINAL · OT · TIE Fox FINAL · OT · TIE DEN 23 LAC 17 Final CBS Final · CBS DET 45 ARI 21 Final Fox Final · Fox SF 32 SEA 29 Final Fox Final · Fox BAL 30 ATL 23 Final NBC Final · NBC BUF 57% LA 43% Mon 8:15 ESPN Mon 8:15

Buccaneers at Cowboys, Week 5 2026

Buccaneers 0-4 24
TB
24 FINAL 16
Thu Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video Thu Oct 8 · Prime Video AT&T Stadium
DAL
Cowboys 2-2 16
TB 48%
DAL 52%
Miss 52% at kickoff · DAL by 1 52% at kickoff · DAL by 1 Market closed DAL -9.5 · O/U 49.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 50 to 55%: 14 of 24 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT
TB-----24
DAL-----16

WHERE IT LANDED

We said DAL by 1. It finished TB by 8.

TB by 26tieDAL by 24

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

TB B.Irving RB 12.9 → 30.5
DAL G.Pickens WR 9.1 → 23.5
TB J.Daniels QB 11.4 → 13.9

Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.

Fantasy points, half PPR.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 52%
Cowboys Buccaneers

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
C.Otton TE5 8.3 4.0
B.Irving RB8 12.9 30.5
C.Godwin Jr. WR26 7.8 5.5
J.Daniels QB32 11.4 13.9
K.Gainwell RB33 6.2 4.3
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
C.Lamb WR5 11.8 1.9
J.Williams RB11 12.1 13.2
D.Prescott QB15 16.1 12.6
G.Pickens WR19 9.1 23.5
J.Ferguson TE25 4.3 3.4

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · 11:58 PM ET · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa

Week 5 · published Sun Oct 11 · run 2026-05-reprice-b2cd2afa