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SEA

SEAHAWKS · QB · #2

Drew Lock

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs LAC · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

6.1

floor 0.7 · ceiling 14.9 · half PPR

QB34Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs LAC · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

6.1

0.7 to 14.9

QB34
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 6.1
  • Floor 0.7
  • Ceiling 14.9

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 6.1Half PPR 6.1PPR 6.16-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 8.5PASS YDS 63PASS TD 0.2INT 0.0RUSH 1.8 · 4RUSH TD 0.0

Std 6.1 · Half 6.1 · PPR 6.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON LOCK, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 0.1, range 0.0 to 6.7, scored 12.8
  • Week 2: projected 11.5, range 2.8 to 18.0, scored 21.4
  • Week 3: projected 11.9, range 3.9 to 18.1, no stat line
  • Week 4: projected 6.1, range 0.7 to 14.9, no stat line
  • Week 11: bye
0 of 2 Inside the band +11.3 Mean error +12.7, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

0 of 2 inside the band · mean error +11.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4LAC6.1
  2. 5SF-
  3. 6@DEN-
  4. 7KC-
  5. 8CHI-
  6. 9ARI-
  7. 10@LV-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12@SF-
  10. 13DAL-
  11. 14NYG-
  12. 15@PHI-
  13. 16LA-
  14. 17@CAR-
  15. 18@LA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB76, 9/15: QB68, 9/20: QB31, 9/22: QB32, 9/24: QB32, 9/27: QB30, 9/29: QB37, 10/1: QB37, 10/4: QB34

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB32C.KeenumCHI11.3
  2. QB33C.RushATL7.0
  3. QB34D.LockSEA6.1
  4. QB35S.SandersCLE5.4
  5. QB36T.BagentCHI4.8
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB2
TEAM
Seahawks · rating +3.7, 4th
LAST WEEK
at WAS · no stat line

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score