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DET

LIONS · WR · #14

Amon-Ra St. Brown

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CAR · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC

13.2

floor 7.4 · ceiling 18.9 · half PPR

WR4Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CAR · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC

13.2

7.4 to 18.9

WR4
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 13.2
  • Floor 7.4
  • Ceiling 18.9

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 10.3Half PPR 13.2PPR 16.1
TGT 9.0REC 6.1 · 73REC TD 0.1RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 10.3 · Half 13.2 · PPR 16.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON ST. BROWN, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 12.1, range 7.2 to 18.4, scored 23.7
  • Week 2: projected 11.6, range 7.1 to 16.4, scored 30.7
  • Week 3: projected 13.6, range 7.6 to 19.5, scored 9.9
  • Week 4: projected 13.2, range 7.4 to 18.9, scored 11.5
  • Week 6: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +6.3 Mean error +19.1, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +6.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@CAR13.2
  2. 5@ARI-
  3. 6BYEno game
  4. 7GB-
  5. 8MIN-
  6. 9@MIA-
  7. 10NE-
  8. 11TB-
  9. 12CHI-
  10. 13@ATL-
  11. 14TEN-
  12. 15@MIN-
  13. 16NYG-
  14. 17@CHI-
  15. 18@GB-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR5, 9/15: WR7, 9/22: WR3, 9/24: WR3, 9/27: WR2, 9/29: WR4, 10/1: WR4, 10/4: WR4

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR2J.Smith-NjigbaSEA13.3
  2. WR3C.OlaveNO13.3
  3. WR4A.St. BrownDET13.2
  4. WR5J.ChaseCIN12.6
  5. WR6P.WashingtonJAX12.2
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR1 · behind him J.Williams
TEAM
Lions · rating +5.6, 3rd
LAST WEEK
vs NYJ · 9.9 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 8:16 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-fae67288 · scored weekly against the official box score