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JAX

JAGUARS · WR · #7

Brian Thomas Jr.

bye Week 7 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

4.6

floor 1.4 · ceiling 9.0 · half PPR

WR62Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

4.6

1.4 to 9.0

WR62
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 4.6
  • Floor 1.4
  • Ceiling 9.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 3.5Half PPR 4.6PPR 5.7
TGT 3.5REC 2.2 · 29REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 3.5 · Half 4.6 · PPR 5.7. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON THOMAS JR., PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 6.8, range 2.5 to 12.7, scored 5.5
  • Week 2: projected 4.8, range 1.4 to 10.0, scored 5.5
  • Week 3: projected 5.7, range 1.6 to 9.2, scored 1.3
  • Week 4: projected 4.6, range 1.4 to 9.0, scored 8.7
  • Week 7: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −0.2 Mean error −4.4, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −0.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@CIN4.6
  2. 5PHI-
  3. 6HOU-
  4. 7BYEno game
  5. 8IND-
  6. 9@BAL-
  7. 10@TEN-
  8. 11@NYG-
  9. 12TEN-
  10. 13@CHI-
  11. 14PIT-
  12. 15@HOU-
  13. 16@DAL-
  14. 17WAS-
  15. 18@IND-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR42, 9/15: WR34, 9/20: WR61, 9/22: WR49, 9/24: WR49, 9/27: WR47, 9/29: WR65, 10/1: WR65, 10/4: WR62

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR60T.HarrisLAC4.7
  2. WR61M.FieldsNYG4.6
  3. WR62B.Thomas Jr.JAX4.6
  4. WR63J.Metchie IIICAR4.5
  5. WR64M.LemonPHI4.5
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR3 · behind him J.Cameron
TEAM
Jaguars · rating +0.5, 15th
LAST WEEK
vs NE · 1.3 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score