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HOU

TEXANS · WR · #13

Jaylin Noel

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

2.3

floor 0.7 · ceiling 5.7 · half PPR

WR100Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

2.3

0.7 to 5.7

WR100
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 2.3
  • Floor 0.7
  • Ceiling 5.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 1.7Half PPR 2.3PPR 3.0
TGT 2.0REC 1.3 · 15REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.1 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 1.7 · Half 2.3 · PPR 3.0. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON NOEL, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 2.2, range 0.4 to 5.7, scored 6.3
  • Week 2: projected 2.1, range 0.3 to 5.1, scored 4.9
  • Week 3: projected 3.9, range 0.9 to 6.6, scored 3.5
  • Week 4: projected 2.3, range 0.7 to 5.7, scored 10.4
  • Week 8: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +3.7 Mean error +8.1, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +3.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4DAL2.3
  2. 5@TEN-
  3. 6@JAX-
  4. 7NYG-
  5. 8BYEno game
  6. 9@LAC-
  7. 10@CLE-
  8. 11IND-
  9. 12BAL-
  10. 13@PIT-
  11. 14@WAS-
  12. 15JAX-
  13. 16@PHI-
  14. 17@GB-
  15. 18TEN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR149, 9/15: WR113, 9/20: WR101, 9/22: WR88, 9/24: WR84, 9/27: WR77, 9/29: WR105, 10/1: WR103, 10/4: WR100

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR98C.RidleyTEN2.4
  2. WR99S.MooreGB2.4
  3. WR100J.NoelHOU2.3
  4. WR101D.BrownWAS2.2
  5. WR102D.CooperPHI2.2
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR4 · behind him J.Wayne
TEAM
Texans · rating +2.1, 11th
LAST WEEK
at IND · 3.5 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score