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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
SF

49ERS · RB · #26

Kaelon Black

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

3.3

floor 0.7 · ceiling 7.3 · half PPR

RB52Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

3.3

0.7 to 7.3

RB52
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 3.3
  • Floor 0.7
  • Ceiling 7.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 3.1Half PPR 3.3PPR 3.4
RUSH 5.4 · 17RUSH TD 0.0TGT 0.6REC 0.3 · 1REC TD 0.0

Std 3.1 · Half 3.3 · PPR 3.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BLACK, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 5.7, range 2.4 to 11.4, scored 7.5
  • Week 2: projected 9.2, range 3.1 to 16.9, scored 2.5
  • Week 3: projected 7.1, range 2.8 to 12.7, scored 1.7
  • Week 4: projected 3.3, range 0.7 to 7.3, scored 1.3
  • Week 8: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band −3.0 Mean error −6.7, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error −3.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4DEN3.3
  2. 5@SEA-
  3. 6WAS-
  4. 7@ATL-
  5. 8BYEno game
  6. 9LV-
  7. 10@DAL-
  8. 11MIN-
  9. 12SEA-
  10. 13@NYG-
  11. 14LA-
  12. 15@LAC-
  13. 16@KC-
  14. 17PHI-
  15. 18@ARI-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: RB54, 9/15: RB46, 9/20: RB26, 9/22: RB34, 9/24: RB33, 9/27: RB33, 9/29: RB55, 10/1: RB55, 10/4: RB52

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT RB, WEEK 4

  1. RB50E.JohnsonKC3.4
  2. RB51R.SandersCLE3.4
  3. RB52K.BlackSF3.3
  4. RB53T.JohnsonBUF3.2
  5. RB54M.LloydGB3.2
Full RB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
RB2
TEAM
49ers · rating +3.4, 6th
LAST WEEK
vs ARI · 1.7 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score