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Run 2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7, published Fri Oct 2 · 5:36 PM ET. Superseded by 2026-04-injury-d57260f5 (Friday injury rerun). These numbers will never change.

Run 2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7, Fri Oct 2. Superseded by the Friday rerun. These numbers will never change.

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RANKINGS · WEEK 4 · ARCHIVED

Quarterbacks, Week 4

Run2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7

Engineengine1-0.5.0, engine2-0.2.0

ScoredNot published yet.

Permalink/rankings/2026/week-4/2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7/qb

#
Player
Opp
Proj
Range
Actual
1
Josh Allen  BUF
vs NE
20.6
12.7 to 25.5
-
2
Lamar Jackson  BAL
vs TEN
19.4
10.4 to 25.7
-
3
Trevor Lawrence  JAX
at CIN
19.1
11.1 to 25.6
-
4
Tyler Shough  NO
vs ATL
18.9
13.7 to 24.8
-
5
Baker Mayfield  TB
vs GB
18.2
9.9 to 23.3
-
6
Bryce Young  CAR
vs DET
18.0
12.6 to 24.5
-
7
Jared Goff  DET
at CAR
18.0
12.7 to 23.7
-
8
Caleb Williams  CHI
vs NYJ
17.9
10.5 to 23.6
-
9
Patrick Mahomes  KC
at LV
17.8
13.2 to 24.8
-
10
Brock Purdy  SF
vs DEN
17.5
11.7 to 23.6
-
11
Joe Burrow  CIN
vs JAX
16.8
11.0 to 24.3
-
12
C.J. Stroud  HOU
vs DAL
16.4
11.2 to 21.9
-
13
Dak Prescott  DAL
at HOU
16.2
11.1 to 23.4
-
14
Matthew Stafford  LA
at PHI
16.2
12.4 to 24.0
-
15
Jalen Hurts  PHI
vs LA
16.2
10.1 to 22.1
-
16
Bo Nix  DEN
at SF
16.1
11.8 to 21.9
-
17
Deshaun Watson  CLE
vs PIT
15.9
9.9 to 20.7
14.9
18
Marcus Mariota  WAS
vs IND
15.7
6.7 to 21.5
-
19
Daniel Jones  IND
at WAS
15.2
8.7 to 21.4
-
20
Drake Maye  NE
at BUF
15.2
8.2 to 21.1
-
21
Malik Willis  MIA
at MIN
15.1
8.1 to 23.3
-
22
Jacoby Brissett  ARI
at NYG
14.9
8.4 to 19.3
-
23
Geno Smith  NYJ
at CHI
14.9
8.3 to 19.1
-
24
Kyler Murray  MIN
vs MIA
14.4
7.5 to 21.9
-
25
Michael Penix Jr.  ATL
at NO
14.4
8.1 to 19.4
-
26
Carson Wentz  MIN
vs MIA
14.4
4.4 to 20.6
-
27
Aaron Rodgers  PIT
at CLE
14.3
9.5 to 18.9
20.0
28
Cam Ward  TEN
at BAL
14.2
8.2 to 19.8
-
29
Jordan Love  GB
at TB
14.2
9.3 to 18.7
-
30
Kirk Cousins  LV
vs KC
14.0
7.6 to 19.1
-
31
Justin Herbert  LAC
at SEA
13.9
9.3 to 19.2
-
32
Sam Darnold  SEA
vs LAC
13.7
8.1 to 20.6
-
33
Jayden Daniels  WAS
vs IND
12.9
7.1 to 21.7
-
34
Jameis Winston  NYG
vs ARI
12.9
7.1 to 20.4
-
35
Case Keenum  CHI
vs NYJ
10.8
2.9 to 18.4
-
36
Cooper Rush  ATL
at NO
7.0
1.8 to 13.3
-
37
Drew Lock  SEA
vs LAC
6.1
0.7 to 14.9
-
38
Shedeur Sanders  CLE
vs PIT
5.4
0.7 to 12.3
-
39
Jack Strand  ATL
at NO
2.9
0.1 to 9.1
-
40
Tommy DeVito  NE
at BUF
2.7
0.5 to 8.4
-
41
Jalon Daniels  TB
vs GB
2.6
0.2 to 6.9
-
42
Tyson Bagent  CHI
vs NYJ
2.5
0.3 to 5.8
-
43
Andy Dalton  PHI
vs LA
1.7
0.0 to 7.8
-
44
Mac Jones  SF
vs DEN
1.1
0.0 to 4.9
-
45
Mason Rudolph  PIT
at CLE
0.8
0.0 to 6.1
-
46
Stetson Bennett  LA
at PHI
0.7
0.0 to 5.7
-
47
Kenny Pickett  CAR
vs DET
0.5
0.0 to 6.5
-
  1. 1Josh AllenBUF · vs NE · 12.7 to 25.520.6
  2. 2Lamar JacksonBAL · vs TEN · 10.4 to 25.719.4
  3. 3Trevor LawrenceJAX · at CIN · 11.1 to 25.619.1
  4. 4Tyler ShoughNO · vs ATL · 13.7 to 24.818.9
  5. 5Baker MayfieldTB · vs GB · 9.9 to 23.318.2
  6. 6Bryce YoungCAR · vs DET · 12.6 to 24.518.0
  7. 7Jared GoffDET · at CAR · 12.7 to 23.718.0
  8. 8Caleb WilliamsCHI · vs NYJ · 10.5 to 23.617.9
  9. 9Patrick MahomesKC · at LV · 13.2 to 24.817.8
  10. 10Brock PurdySF · vs DEN · 11.7 to 23.617.5
  11. 11Joe BurrowCIN · vs JAX · 11.0 to 24.316.8
  12. 12C.J. StroudHOU · vs DAL · 11.2 to 21.916.4
  13. 13Dak PrescottDAL · at HOU · 11.1 to 23.416.2
  14. 14Matthew StaffordLA · at PHI · 12.4 to 24.016.2
  15. 15Jalen HurtsPHI · vs LA · 10.1 to 22.116.2
  16. 16Bo NixDEN · at SF · 11.8 to 21.916.1
  17. 17Deshaun WatsonCLE · vs PIT · 9.9 to 20.715.9actual 14.9
  18. 18Marcus MariotaWAS · vs IND · 6.7 to 21.515.7
  19. 19Daniel JonesIND · at WAS · 8.7 to 21.415.2
  20. 20Drake MayeNE · at BUF · 8.2 to 21.115.2
  21. 21Malik WillisMIA · at MIN · 8.1 to 23.315.1
  22. 22Jacoby BrissettARI · at NYG · 8.4 to 19.314.9
  23. 23Geno SmithNYJ · at CHI · 8.3 to 19.114.9
  24. 24Kyler MurrayMIN · vs MIA · 7.5 to 21.914.4
  25. 25Michael Penix Jr.ATL · at NO · 8.1 to 19.414.4
  26. 26Carson WentzMIN · vs MIA · 4.4 to 20.614.4
  27. 27Aaron RodgersPIT · at CLE · 9.5 to 18.914.3actual 20.0
  28. 28Cam WardTEN · at BAL · 8.2 to 19.814.2
  29. 29Jordan LoveGB · at TB · 9.3 to 18.714.2
  30. 30Kirk CousinsLV · vs KC · 7.6 to 19.114.0
  31. 31Justin HerbertLAC · at SEA · 9.3 to 19.213.9
  32. 32Sam DarnoldSEA · vs LAC · 8.1 to 20.613.7
  33. 33Jayden DanielsWAS · vs IND · 7.1 to 21.712.9
  34. 34Jameis WinstonNYG · vs ARI · 7.1 to 20.412.9
  35. 35Case KeenumCHI · vs NYJ · 2.9 to 18.410.8
  36. 36Cooper RushATL · at NO · 1.8 to 13.37.0
  37. 37Drew LockSEA · vs LAC · 0.7 to 14.96.1
  38. 38Shedeur SandersCLE · vs PIT · 0.7 to 12.35.4
  39. 39Jack StrandATL · at NO · 0.1 to 9.12.9
  40. 40Tommy DeVitoNE · at BUF · 0.5 to 8.42.7
  41. 41Jalon DanielsTB · vs GB · 0.2 to 6.92.6
  42. 42Tyson BagentCHI · vs NYJ · 0.3 to 5.82.5
  43. 43Andy DaltonPHI · vs LA · 0.0 to 7.81.7
  44. 44Mac JonesSF · vs DEN · 0.0 to 4.91.1
  45. 45Mason RudolphPIT · at CLE · 0.0 to 6.10.8
  46. 46Stetson BennettLA · at PHI · 0.0 to 5.70.7
  47. 47Kenny PickettCAR · vs DET · 0.0 to 6.50.5

Archived run 2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7 · Fri Oct 2 · 5:36 PM ET · never edited

Archived run 2026-04-refresh-99f8e6d7 · never edited