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↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

PUBLISHED EVIDENCE · 2026

Week 4

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
4 PIT Steelers at CLE Browns CLE 57% CLE by 2 PIT 24 · CLE 27 Hit 57% +1 0.187
4 IND Colts at WAS Commanders WAS 55% WAS by 2 Sun 9:30 AM Pending · ·
4 ARI Cardinals at NYG Giants ARI 51% tie Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 DAL Cowboys at HOU Texans DAL 52% DAL by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 GB Packers at TB Buccaneers GB 51% tie Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 JAX Jaguars at CIN Bengals CIN 59% CIN by 3 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 LA Rams at PHI Eagles LA 54% LA by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 NE Patriots at BUF Bills BUF 63% BUF by 7 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 NYJ Jets at CHI Bears CHI 70% CHI by 8 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 TEN Titans at BAL Ravens BAL 72% BAL by 10 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
4 MIA Dolphins at MIN Vikings MIN 63% MIN by 4 Sun 4:05 PM Pending · ·
4 DEN Broncos at SF 49ers SF 60% SF by 4 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
4 KC Chiefs at LV Raiders KC 57% KC by 3 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
4 LAC Chargers at SEA Seahawks SEA 61% SEA by 6 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
4 DET Lions at CAR Panthers DET 61% DET by 3 Sun 8:20 PM Pending · ·
4 ATL Falcons at NO Saints NO 62% NO by 4 Mon 8:15 PM Pending · ·

16 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

PIT at CLE CLE 57% · by 2 Hit
PIT 24 · CLE 27 err +1 Brier 0.187
IND at WAS WAS 55% · by 2 Pending
Sun 9:30 AM err · Brier ·
ARI at NYG ARI 51% · tie Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
DAL at HOU DAL 52% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
GB at TB GB 51% · tie Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
JAX at CIN CIN 59% · by 3 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
LA at PHI LA 54% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
NE at BUF BUF 63% · by 7 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
NYJ at CHI CHI 70% · by 8 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
TEN at BAL BAL 72% · by 10 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
MIA at MIN MIN 63% · by 4 Pending
Sun 4:05 PM err · Brier ·
DEN at SF SF 60% · by 4 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
KC at LV KC 57% · by 3 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
LAC at SEA SEA 61% · by 6 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
DET at CAR DET 61% · by 3 Pending
Sun 8:20 PM err · Brier ·
ATL at NO NO 62% · by 4 Pending
Mon 8:15 PM err · Brier ·

16 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

HOW THIS PAGE WORKS

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A coin flip with the right lean counts as a hit and as a miss the same way; a tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Fri Oct 2 · 7:06 PM ET · run 2026-04-injury-d57260f5

Scored Fri Oct 2 · run 2026-04-injury-d57260f5