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↑↓move ↵open escclose Players, teams and this week's games · type a position like "rb" for the list

Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.

PUBLISHED EVIDENCE · 2026

Week 5

WEEKGAMEOUR CALL, AT KICKOFFRESULTVERDICTMARGIN ERRORBRIER
5 TB Buccaneers at DAL Cowboys DAL 52% DAL by 1 Thu 8:15 PM Pending · ·
5 PHI Eagles at JAX Jaguars JAX 62% JAX by 5 Sun 9:30 AM Pending · ·
5 CHI Bears at GB Packers GB 56% GB by 2 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 CIN Bengals at MIA Dolphins CIN 60% CIN by 3 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 CLE Browns at NYJ Jets CLE 55% CLE by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 HOU Texans at TEN Titans HOU 52% HOU by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 IND Colts at PIT Steelers PIT 54% PIT by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 LV Raiders at NE Patriots NE 54% NE by 2 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 MIN Vikings at NO Saints MIN 51% MIN by 1 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 NYG Giants at WAS Commanders WAS 63% WAS by 5 Sun 1:00 PM Pending · ·
5 DEN Broncos at LAC Chargers LAC 51% tie Sun 4:05 PM Pending · ·
5 DET Lions at ARI Cardinals DET 58% DET by 3 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
5 SF 49ers at SEA Seahawks SEA 57% SEA by 3 Sun 4:25 PM Pending · ·
5 BAL Ravens at ATL Falcons BAL 56% BAL by 3 Sun 8:20 PM Pending · ·
5 BUF Bills at LA Rams BUF 57% BUF by 3 Mon 8:15 PM Pending · ·

15 calls · export CSV · the published artifact

Margin error: final margin minus our median, from the side we called. Brier per game: (confidence − outcome)². ✎ is a dated correction; the call itself is never edited.

TB at DAL DAL 52% · by 1 Pending
Thu 8:15 PM err · Brier ·
PHI at JAX JAX 62% · by 5 Pending
Sun 9:30 AM err · Brier ·
CHI at GB GB 56% · by 2 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
CIN at MIA CIN 60% · by 3 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
CLE at NYJ CLE 55% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
HOU at TEN HOU 52% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
IND at PIT PIT 54% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
LV at NE NE 54% · by 2 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
MIN at NO MIN 51% · by 1 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
NYG at WAS WAS 63% · by 5 Pending
Sun 1:00 PM err · Brier ·
DEN at LAC LAC 51% · tie Pending
Sun 4:05 PM err · Brier ·
DET at ARI DET 58% · by 3 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
SF at SEA SEA 57% · by 3 Pending
Sun 4:25 PM err · Brier ·
BAL at ATL BAL 56% · by 3 Pending
Sun 8:20 PM err · Brier ·
BUF at LA BUF 57% · by 3 Pending
Mon 8:15 PM err · Brier ·

15 calls · export CSV

Err: final margin minus our median. Brier: (confidence − outcome)². Calls are never edited after kickoff.

HOW THIS PAGE WORKS

A published call is never edited or deleted after kickoff. A correction is a dated note next to the original. Every row keeps its Hit, Miss, Pending or Not counted so you can check us; the Brier score checks both the outcome and the confidence we stated. A coin flip with the right lean counts as a hit and as a miss the same way; a tie is a Miss, because we never call one.

Scored Thu Oct 8 · 8:11 PM ET · run 2026-05-inactives-fbe86ad2

Scored Thu Oct 8 · run 2026-05-inactives-fbe86ad2