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KC

CHIEFS · TE · #87

Travis Kelce

bye Week 5 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at LV · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

7.8

floor 3.6 · ceiling 13.2 · half PPR

TE7Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at LV · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

7.8

3.6 to 13.2

TE7
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 7.8
  • Floor 3.6
  • Ceiling 13.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 6.1Half PPR 7.8PPR 9.6
TGT 5.4REC 3.5 · 42REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 6.1 · Half 7.8 · PPR 9.6. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON KELCE, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 7.9, range 3.9 to 14.0, scored 8.6
  • Week 2: projected 8.9, range 3.9 to 14.2, scored 20.6
  • Week 3: projected 9.3, range 4.4 to 15.1, scored 12.9
  • Week 4: projected 7.8, range 3.6 to 13.2, scored 2.5
  • Week 5: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +2.7 Mean error +11.7, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +2.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@LV7.8
  2. 5BYEno game
  3. 6LAC-
  4. 7@SEA-
  5. 8@DEN-
  6. 9NYJ-
  7. 10@ATL-
  8. 11ARI-
  9. 12@BUF-
  10. 13@LA-
  11. 14@CIN-
  12. 15NE-
  13. 16SF-
  14. 17@LAC-
  15. 18LV-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: TE9, 9/14: TE9, 9/15: TE10, 9/20: TE4, 9/22: TE3, 9/24: TE3, 9/27: TE3, 9/29: TE7, 10/1: TE7, 10/4: TE7

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT TE, WEEK 4

  1. TE5S.LaPortaDET8.8
  2. TE6J.JohnsonNO8.1
  3. TE7T.KelceKC7.8
  4. TE8G.KittleSF7.8
  5. TE9D.SchultzHOU7.7
Full TE rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
TE1 · behind him N.Gray
TEAM
Chiefs · rating +3.6, 5th
LAST WEEK
at MIA · 12.9 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score