KC
NEXT · WEEK 4 at LV Raiders Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 4 · 4:25 PM · CBS KC 57% by 2 Open → AFC WEST · T-1ST
Kansas City Chiefs
3-0 · home 2-0 · away 1-0 · division 1-0
3-0 · home 2-0 · away 1-0
OUR RATING +3.6 5th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 5th of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +1.5 3-0 where our numbers expected 1.5 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 3-0, expected 1.5
PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK
Not published yet.
SCHEDULE
Preseason games are never forecast Week 5, bye
6 vs LAC Chargers Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 KC 58% · by 2 · 7 at SEA Seahawks Sun Oct 25 · 8:20 KC 39% · by 6, SEA · 8 at DEN Broncos Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 KC 44% · by 2, DEN · 9 vs NYJ Jets Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 KC 62% · by 5 · 10 at ATL Falcons Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 KC 52% · by 1 · 11 vs ARI Cardinals Sun Nov 22 · 1:00 KC 54% · by 1 · 12 at BUF Bills Thu Nov 26 · 8:20 KC 35% · by 8, BUF · 13 at LA Rams Thu Dec 3 · 8:15 KC 37% · by 4, LA · 14 at CIN Bengals Sun Dec 13 · 4:25 KC 39% · by 4, CIN · 15 vs NE Patriots Mon Dec 21 · 8:15 KC 57% · by 3 · 16 vs SF 49ers Sun Dec 27 · 4:25 KC 52% · by 1 · 17 at LAC Chargers Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 KC 50% · even · 18 vs LV Raiders Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 KC 59% · by 3 · SCHEDULE
Week 5, bye
6 vs LAC Chargers Sun Oct 18 KC 58% · 7 at SEA Seahawks Sun Oct 25 KC 39% · 8 at DEN Broncos Sun Nov 1 KC 44% · 9 vs NYJ Jets Sun Nov 8 KC 62% · 10 at ATL Falcons Sun Nov 15 KC 52% · 11 vs ARI Cardinals Sun Nov 22 KC 54% · 12 at BUF Bills Thu Nov 26 KC 35% · 13 at LA Rams Thu Dec 3 KC 37% · 14 at CIN Bengals Sun Dec 13 KC 39% · 15 vs NE Patriots Mon Dec 21 KC 57% · 16 vs SF 49ers Sun Dec 27 KC 52% · 17 at LAC Chargers Sun Jan 3 KC 50% · 18 vs LV Raiders Sun Jan 10 KC 59% · SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES
Not published yet.
REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD
REMAINING SCHEDULE · 20TH HARDEST
20th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating −0.2
4 LV −4.2 · 57% 57%
6 LAC +0.1 · 58% 58%
7 SEA +3.7 · 39% 39%
8 DEN +1.6 · 44% 44%
9 NYJ −5.4 · 62% 62%
10 ATL −3.0 · 52% 52%
11 ARI −3.0 · 54% 54%
12 BUF +6.5 · 35% 35%
13 LA +3.0 · 37% 37%
14 CIN 0.0 · 39% 39%
15 NE −1.6 · 57% 57%
16 SF +3.4 · 52% 52%
17 LAC +0.1 · 50% 50%
18 LV −4.2 · 59% 59%
Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for KC. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
Week, opponent, our number for KC. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
AFC WEST
KC Chiefs 3-0 - 3-0 · +3.6 LV Raiders 3-0 - 3-0 · −4.2 DEN Broncos 2-1 - 2-1 · +1.6 LAC Chargers 0-3 - 0-3 · +0.1 Whole conference →INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US
Josh Simmons T T OUT OUT
Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4
P.Mahomes QB 17.8 QB7
K.Walker III RB 14.7 RB5
R.Rice WR 10.4 WR9
X.Worthy WR 6.3 WR42
T.Kelce TE 7.8 TE7
Depth chart, 54 on the roster → SEASON SO FAR
Points for / against per game 29.3 / 16.7
Point diff per game +12.6
Home · Away · Division 2-0 · 1-0 · 1-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 20th
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54