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SEA

SEAHAWKS · QB · #14

Sam Darnold

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs LAC · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

13.7

floor 8.1 · ceiling 20.6 · half PPR

QB30Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs LAC · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

13.7

8.1 to 20.6

QB30
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 13.7
  • Floor 8.1
  • Ceiling 20.6

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 13.7Half PPR 13.7PPR 13.76-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.7PASS YDS 228PASS TD 1.0INT 0.5RUSH 2.0 · 2RUSH TD 0.0

Std 13.7 · Half 13.7 · PPR 13.7. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON DARNOLD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 14.7, range 9.3 to 21.6, scored 0.5
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 6.5, range 0.9 to 16.0, scored 27.7
  • Week 4: projected 13.7, range 8.1 to 20.6, scored 13.3
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 3 Inside the band +2.2 Mean error +21.1, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 3 inside the band · mean error +2.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4LAC13.7
  2. 5SF-
  3. 6@DEN-
  4. 7KC-
  5. 8CHI-
  6. 9ARI-
  7. 10@LV-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12@SF-
  10. 13DAL-
  11. 14NYG-
  12. 15@PHI-
  13. 16LA-
  14. 17@CAR-
  15. 18@LA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB26, 9/15: QB23, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: QB38, 9/24: QB38, 9/27: QB36, 9/29: QB32, 10/1: QB32, 10/4: QB30

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB28K.CousinsLV14.0
  2. QB29J.HerbertLAC13.9
  3. QB30S.DarnoldSEA13.7
  4. QB31J.WinstonNYG12.9
  5. QB32C.KeenumCHI11.3
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him D.Lock
TEAM
Seahawks · rating +3.7, 4th
LAST WEEK
at WAS · 27.7 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score