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KC

CHIEFS · TE · #83

Noah Gray

bye Week 5 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at LV · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

3.1

floor 1.2 · ceiling 5.3 · half PPR

TE40Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at LV · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

3.1

1.2 to 5.3

TE40
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 3.1
  • Floor 1.2
  • Ceiling 5.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 2.3Half PPR 3.1PPR 3.9
TGT 2.4REC 1.8 · 18REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 2.3 · Half 3.1 · PPR 3.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON GRAY, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 2.6, range 0.9 to 4.8, scored 1.0
  • Week 2: projected 3.5, range 1.1 to 5.9, scored 0.0
  • Week 3: projected 3.1, range 1.2 to 5.8, scored 5.4
  • Week 4: projected 3.1, range 1.2 to 5.3, scored 2.7
  • Week 5: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −0.8 Mean error −3.5, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −0.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@LV3.1
  2. 5BYEno game
  3. 6LAC-
  4. 7@SEA-
  5. 8@DEN-
  6. 9NYJ-
  7. 10@ATL-
  8. 11ARI-
  9. 12@BUF-
  10. 13@LA-
  11. 14@CIN-
  12. 15NE-
  13. 16SF-
  14. 17@LAC-
  15. 18LV-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: TE60, 9/14: TE60, 9/15: TE57, 9/20: TE31, 9/22: TE36, 9/24: TE34, 9/27: TE31, 9/29: TE42, 10/1: TE41, 10/4: TE40

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT TE, WEEK 4

  1. TE38T.JohnsonNYG3.4
  2. TE39N.FantNO3.1
  3. TE40N.GrayKC3.1
  4. TE41M.Alie-CoxIND2.9
  5. TE42J.RuckertNYJ2.9
Full TE rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
TE2 · behind him J.Briningstool
TEAM
Chiefs · rating +3.6, 5th
LAST WEEK
at MIA · 5.4 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score