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CHI

BEARS · WR · #10

Luther Burden III

bye Week 10 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

8.9

floor 3.9 · ceiling 15.0 · half PPR

WR20Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

8.9

3.9 to 15.0

WR20
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 8.9
  • Floor 3.9
  • Ceiling 15.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 6.9Half PPR 8.9PPR 11.0
TGT 6.3REC 4.3 · 49REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 6.9 · Half 8.9 · PPR 11.0. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BURDEN III, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 7.5, range 3.0 to 13.9, scored 9.0
  • Week 2: projected 8.2, range 3.2 to 14.1, scored 4.7
  • Week 3: projected 7.7, range 3.1 to 12.6, scored 16.3
  • Week 4: projected 8.9, range 3.9 to 15.0, scored 9.4
  • Week 10: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +1.8 Mean error +8.6, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +1.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4NYJ8.9
  2. 5@GB-
  3. 6@ATL-
  4. 7NE-
  5. 8@SEA-
  6. 9TB-
  7. 10BYEno game
  8. 11NO-
  9. 12@DET-
  10. 13JAX-
  11. 14@MIA-
  12. 15@BUF-
  13. 16GB-
  14. 17DET-
  15. 18@MIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR37, 9/15: WR39, 9/20: WR26, 9/22: WR28, 9/24: WR28, 9/27: WR26, 9/28: WR26, 9/29: WR21, 10/1: WR21, 10/4: WR20

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR18K.ConcepcionCLE9.1
  2. WR19Z.FlowersBAL9.1
  3. WR20L.Burden IIICHI8.9
  4. WR21C.WatsonGB8.9
  5. WR22T.McLaurinWAS8.5
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR2 · behind him K.Raymond
TEAM
Bears · rating +0.5, 14th
LAST WEEK
vs PHI · 16.3 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score