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CLE

BROWNS · WR · #1

KC Concepcion

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs PIT · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

9.1

floor 4.8 · ceiling 14.2 · half PPR

WR19Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs PIT · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

9.1

4.8 to 14.2

WR19
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 9.1
  • Floor 4.8
  • Ceiling 14.2

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 7.3Half PPR 9.1PPR 10.9
TGT 5.5REC 3.5 · 34REC TD 0.0RUSH 1.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 7.3 · Half 9.1 · PPR 10.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON CONCEPCION, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 8.0, range 5.2 to 11.0, scored 7.8
  • Week 2: projected 8.8, range 4.2 to 15.7, scored 5.2
  • Week 3: projected 8.5, range 5.0 to 13.2, scored 1.9
  • Week 4: projected 9.1, range 4.8 to 14.2, scored 8.9
  • Week 11: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −2.6 Mean error −6.6, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −2.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4PIT9.1
  2. 5@NYJ-
  3. 6BAL-
  4. 7@TEN-
  5. 8@PIT-
  6. 9@NO-
  7. 10HOU-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12LV-
  10. 13CIN-
  11. 14ATL-
  12. 15@NYG-
  13. 16@BAL-
  14. 17IND-
  15. 18@CIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR32, 9/15: WR30, 9/20: WR21, 9/22: WR22, 9/24: WR22, 9/27: WR21, 9/29: WR19, 10/1: WR19

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR17G.PickensDAL9.4
  2. WR18Z.FlowersBAL9.2
  3. WR19K.ConcepcionCLE9.1
  4. WR20D.SmithPHI9.1
  5. WR21L.Burden IIICHI8.9
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR2 · behind him J.Jeudy
TEAM
Browns · rating −4.2, 27th
LAST WEEK
vs CAR · 1.9 pts

Week 4 · published Thu Oct 1 · 8:10 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-4eb0bb34 · scored weekly against the official box score