IND at WAS · Week 4

PIT 24 CLE 27 Final Prime Video Final · Prime Video IND 30 WAS 13 Final NFL Net Final · NFL Net ARI 24 NYG 36 Final CBS Final · CBS DAL 34 HOU 30 Final FOX Final · FOX GB 17 TB 14 Final FOX Final · FOX JAX 22 CIN 17 Final CBS Final · CBS LA 24 PHI 20 Final FOX Final · FOX NE 29 BUF 26 Final CBS Final · CBS NYJ 12 CHI 23 Final FOX Final · FOX TEN 18 BAL 24 Final CBS Final · CBS MIA 10 MIN 15 Final FOX Final · FOX DEN 14 SF 24 Final CBS Final · CBS KC 30 LV 27 Final CBS Final · CBS LAC 23 SEA 30 Final CBS Final · CBS DET 61% CAR 39% Sun 8:20 NBC Sun 8:20 ATL 38% NO 62% Mon 8:15 ESPN Mon 8:15

Colts 1-2 30

IND

30 FINAL 13

Sun Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET · NFL Net Sun Oct 4 · NFL Net Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

WAS

Commanders 1-2 13

IND 45%

WAS 55%

Miss 55% at kickoff · WAS by 2 55% at kickoff · WAS by 2 Market closed IND -4.5 · O/U 46.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 55 to 60%: 10 of 18 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT

IND-----30

WAS-----13

WHERE IT LANDED

We said WAS by 2. It finished IND by 17.

IND by 24tieWAS by 26

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

Not published yet.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 55%

Commanders Colts

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

J.Taylor RB4 15.2 -

T.Warren TE4 9.0 -

D.Jones QB17 15.2 -

J.Downs WR28 7.7 -

M.Alie-Cox TE41 2.9 -

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

M.Mariota QB9 16.9 -

J.Croskey-Merritt RB20 9.8 -

T.McLaurin WR22 8.5 -

C.Okonkwo TE31 4.0 -

S.Diggs WR33 7.1 -

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is not published yet.

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 11:36 PM ET · run 2026-04-refresh-f35a410e

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-refresh-f35a410e

Colts at Commanders, Week 4 2026