NE at BUF · Week 4

PIT 24 CLE 27 Final Prime Video Final · Prime Video IND 30 WAS 13 Final NFL Net Final · NFL Net ARI 24 NYG 36 Final CBS Final · CBS DAL 34 HOU 30 Final FOX Final · FOX GB 17 TB 14 Final FOX Final · FOX JAX 22 CIN 17 Final CBS Final · CBS LA 24 PHI 20 Final FOX Final · FOX NE 29 BUF 26 Final CBS Final · CBS NYJ 12 CHI 23 Final FOX Final · FOX TEN 18 BAL 24 Final CBS Final · CBS MIA 10 MIN 15 Final FOX Final · FOX DEN 40% SF 60% Sun 4:25 CBS Sun 4:25 KC 57% LV 43% Sun 4:25 CBS Sun 4:25 LAC 39% SEA 61% Sun 4:25 CBS Sun 4:25 DET 61% CAR 39% Sun 8:20 NBC Sun 8:20 ATL 38% NO 62% Mon 8:15 ESPN Mon 8:15

Patriots 1-2 29

29 FINAL 26

Sun Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 4 · CBS Highmark Stadium

BUF

Bills 3-0 26

NE 37%

BUF 63%

Miss 63% at kickoff · BUF by 7 63% at kickoff · BUF by 7 Market closed BUF -7 · O/U 49.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 60 to 65%: 6 of 12 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT

NE-----29

BUF-----26

WHERE IT LANDED

We said BUF by 7. It finished NE by 3.

NE by 20tieBUF by 29

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

Not published yet.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 63%

Bills Patriots

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

D.Maye QB18 15.2 -

R.Stevenson RB22 9.6 -

H.Henry TE29 4.1 -

T.Henderson RB38 5.7 -

T.DeVito QB39 2.7 -

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

J.Allen QB1 20.6 -

J.Cook RB7 14.0 -

D.Kincaid TE14 6.7 -

D.Knox TE34 3.8 -

K.Shakir WR35 6.9 -

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is not published yet.

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54

Patriots at Bills, Week 4 2026