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MIN

VIKINGS · QB · #11

Carson Wentz

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs MIA · Sun 4:05 PM · Fox

14.4

floor 4.4 · ceiling 20.6 · half PPR

QB24Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs MIA · Sun 4:05 PM · Fox

14.4

4.4 to 20.6

QB24
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 4.4
  • Ceiling 20.6

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 21.2PASS YDS 139PASS TD 0.9INT 0.0RUSH 2.8 · 7RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WENTZ, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 15.4, range 8.3 to 21.8, scored 17.2
  • Week 2: projected 16.6, range 8.1 to 22.8, scored 6.3
  • Week 3: projected 14.8, range 6.3 to 21.0, no stat line
  • Week 4: projected 14.4, range 4.4 to 20.6, no stat line
  • Week 6: bye
1 of 2 Inside the band −4.2 Mean error −10.3, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 2 inside the band · mean error −4.2. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4MIA14.4
  2. 5@NO-
  3. 6BYEno game
  4. 7IND-
  5. 8@DET-
  6. 9BUF-
  7. 10@GB-
  8. 11@SF-
  9. 12ATL-
  10. 13CAR-
  11. 14@NE-
  12. 15DET-
  13. 16WAS-
  14. 17@NYJ-
  15. 18CHI-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB22, 9/15: QB16, 9/20: QB15, 9/22: QB24, 9/24: QB21, 9/27: QB20, 9/29: QB26, 10/1: QB26, 10/4: QB24

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB22K.MurrayMIN14.4
  2. QB23M.Penix Jr.ATL14.4
  3. QB24C.WentzMIN14.4
  4. QB25A.RodgersPIT14.3
  5. QB26C.WardTEN14.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB2
TEAM
Vikings · rating +2.4, 10th
LAST WEEK
at TB · no stat line

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:01 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-3475ae2c · scored weekly against the official box score