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ATL

FALCONS · QB · #9

Michael Penix Jr.

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at NO · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

14.4

floor 8.1 · ceiling 19.4 · half PPR

QB23Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at NO · Mon 8:15 PM · ESPN

14.4

8.1 to 19.4

QB23
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 14.4
  • Floor 8.1
  • Ceiling 19.4

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.4Half PPR 14.4PPR 14.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.1PASS YDS 206PASS TD 0.9INT 0.2RUSH 2.0 · 3RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.4 · Half 14.4 · PPR 14.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON PENIX JR., PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 14.3, range 9.1 to 19.3, no stat line
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 14.8, range 8.8 to 19.6, scored 12.0
  • Week 4: projected 14.4, range 8.1 to 19.4, not yet played
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 1 Inside the band −2.7 Mean error none yet Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 1 inside the band · mean error −2.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

14 games left

  1. 4@NO14.4
  2. 5BAL-
  3. 6CHI-
  4. 7SF-
  5. 8@TB-
  6. 9CIN-
  7. 10KC-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12@MIN-
  10. 13DET-
  11. 14@CLE-
  12. 15@WAS-
  13. 16TB-
  14. 17NO-
  15. 18@CAR-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB28, 9/15: QB25, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: QB21, 9/24: QB22, 9/29: QB25, 10/1: QB25, 10/4: QB23, 10/5: QB23

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB21G.SmithNYJ14.9
  2. QB22K.MurrayMIN14.4
  3. QB23M.Penix Jr.ATL14.4
  4. QB24C.WentzMIN14.4
  5. QB25A.RodgersPIT14.3
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him T.Tagovailoa
TEAM
Falcons · rating −3.0, 25th
LAST WEEK
at GB · 12.0 pts

Week 4 · published Mon Oct 5 · 8:11 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-f342530e · scored weekly against the official box score