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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
DET

LIONS · QB · #16

Jared Goff

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CAR · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC

18.0

floor 12.7 · ceiling 23.7 · half PPR

QB6Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CAR · Sun 8:20 PM · NBC

18.0

12.7 to 23.7

QB6
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 18.0
  • Floor 12.7
  • Ceiling 23.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 18.0Half PPR 18.0PPR 18.06-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 35.2PASS YDS 253PASS TD 2.1INT 0.3RUSH 1.8 · 2RUSH TD 0.0

Std 18.0 · Half 18.0 · PPR 18.0. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON GOFF, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.8, range 11.7 to 24.0, scored 16.4
  • Week 2: projected 15.7, range 10.1 to 22.8, scored 29.8
  • Week 3: projected 18.4, range 11.5 to 23.4, scored 19.4
  • Week 4: projected 18.0, range 12.7 to 23.7, scored 20.5
  • Week 6: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +4.3 Mean error +14.1, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +4.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@CAR18.0
  2. 5@ARI-
  3. 6BYEno game
  4. 7GB-
  5. 8MIN-
  6. 9@MIA-
  7. 10NE-
  8. 11TB-
  9. 12CHI-
  10. 13@ATL-
  11. 14TEN-
  12. 15@MIN-
  13. 16NYG-
  14. 17@CHI-
  15. 18@GB-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB15, 9/15: QB20, 9/22: QB4, 9/24: QB4, 9/27: QB4, 9/29: QB7, 10/1: QB7, 10/4: QB6

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB4T.ShoughNO18.9
  2. QB5B.YoungCAR18.0
  3. QB6J.GoffDET18.0
  4. QB7P.MahomesKC17.8
  5. QB8B.PurdySF17.5
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him J.Dobbs
TEAM
Lions · rating +5.6, 3rd
LAST WEEK
vs NYJ · 19.4 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 8:16 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-fae67288 · scored weekly against the official box score