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SF

49ERS · QB · #13

Brock Purdy

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

17.5

floor 11.7 · ceiling 23.6 · half PPR

QB8Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM · CBS

17.5

11.7 to 23.6

QB8
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 17.5
  • Floor 11.7
  • Ceiling 23.6

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 17.5Half PPR 17.5PPR 17.56-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.4PASS YDS 228PASS TD 1.2INT 0.3RUSH 4.1 · 19RUSH TD 0.0

Std 17.5 · Half 17.5 · PPR 17.5. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON PURDY, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 17.6, range 10.0 to 24.2, scored 21.1
  • Week 2: projected 16.8, range 10.4 to 22.4, scored 28.5
  • Week 3: projected 18.5, range 10.0 to 23.5, scored 31.3
  • Week 4: projected 17.5, range 11.7 to 23.6, scored 19.6
  • Week 8: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band +7.5 Mean error +12.8, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +7.5. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4DEN17.5
  2. 5@SEA-
  3. 6WAS-
  4. 7@ATL-
  5. 8BYEno game
  6. 9LV-
  7. 10@DAL-
  8. 11MIN-
  9. 12SEA-
  10. 13@NYG-
  11. 14LA-
  12. 15@LAC-
  13. 16@KC-
  14. 17PHI-
  15. 18@ARI-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB8, 9/15: QB7, 9/20: QB12, 9/22: QB2, 9/24: QB3, 9/27: QB3, 9/29: QB10, 10/1: QB10, 10/4: QB8

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB6J.GoffDET18.0
  2. QB7P.MahomesKC17.8
  3. QB8B.PurdySF17.5
  4. QB9M.MariotaWAS16.9
  5. QB10J.BurrowCIN16.8
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him M.Jones
TEAM
49ers · rating +3.4, 6th
LAST WEEK
vs ARI · 31.3 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:18 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-d1fc456b · scored weekly against the official box score