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BAL

RAVENS · QB · #8

Lamar Jackson

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

19.4

floor 10.4 · ceiling 25.7 · half PPR

QB2Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

19.4

10.4 to 25.7

QB2
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 19.4
  • Floor 10.4
  • Ceiling 25.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 19.4Half PPR 19.4PPR 19.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 24.6PASS YDS 201PASS TD 1.4INT 0.2RUSH 5.1 · 24RUSH TD 0.0

Std 19.4 · Half 19.4 · PPR 19.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON JACKSON, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 12.2, range 4.9 to 20.8, scored 27.0
  • Week 2: projected 17.1, range 10.2 to 21.7, scored 14.8
  • Week 3: projected 18.6, range 10.7 to 26.8, scored 20.4
  • Week 4: projected 19.4, range 10.4 to 25.7, scored 18.9
  • Week 13: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +3.5 Mean error +14.8, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +3.5. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4TEN19.4
  2. 5@ATL-
  3. 6@CLE-
  4. 7CIN-
  5. 8@BUF-
  6. 9JAX-
  7. 10LAC-
  8. 11@CAR-
  9. 12@HOU-
  10. 13BYEno game
  11. 14TB-
  12. 15@PIT-
  13. 16CLE-
  14. 17@CIN-
  15. 18PIT-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB40, 9/15: QB44, 9/20: QB7, 9/22: QB3, 9/24: QB2, 9/27: QB2, 9/29: QB2, 10/1: QB2, 10/4: QB2

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB1J.AllenBUF20.6
  2. QB2L.JacksonBAL19.4
  3. QB3T.LawrenceJAX19.1
  4. QB4T.ShoughNO18.9
  5. QB5B.YoungCAR18.0
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him T.Huntley
TEAM
Ravens · rating +6.2, 2nd
LAST WEEK
at DAL · 20.4 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score