JAGUARS · QB · #16
Trevor Lawrence
WEEK 4 · at CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS
19.1
floor 11.1 · ceiling 25.6 · half PPR
WEEK 4 · at CIN · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS
19.1
11.1 to 25.6
QB3HOW SURE, WEEK 4
- Projection 19.1
- Floor 11.1
- Ceiling 25.6
Not published yet.
Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.
THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT
Std 19.1 · Half 19.1 · PPR 19.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.
OUR RECORD ON LAWRENCE, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
- Week 1: projected 19.1, range 12.6 to 25.2, scored 26.1
- Week 2: projected 17.8, range 11.0 to 24.8, scored 6.2
- Week 3: projected 16.7, range 10.5 to 23.0, scored 19.8
- Week 4: projected 19.1, range 11.1 to 25.6, scored 13.1
- Week 7: bye
Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.
2 of 4 inside the band · mean error −1.9. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.
REST OF SEASON
13 games left
- 4@CIN19.1
- 5PHI-
- 6HOU-
- 7BYEno game
- 8IND-
- 9@BAL-
- 10@TEN-
- 11@NYG-
- 12TEN-
- 13@CHI-
- 14PIT-
- 15@HOU-
- 16@DAL-
- 17WAS-
- 18@IND-
This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.
RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN
9/8: QB4, 9/15: QB1, 9/20: QB4, 9/22: QB10, 9/24: QB10, 9/27: QB9, 9/29: QB3, 10/1: QB3, 10/4: QB3
One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.
AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4
- QB1J.AllenBUF20.6
- QB2L.JacksonBAL19.4
- QB3T.LawrenceJAX19.1
- QB4T.ShoughNO18.9
- QB5B.YoungCAR18.0
CONTEXT
- DEPTH CHART
- QB1 · behind him Q.Ewers
- TEAM
- Jaguars · rating +0.5, 15th
- THIS WEEK'S GAME
- JAX 41% at CIN · open the game page
- LAST WEEK
- vs NE · 19.8 pts
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score