BILLS · QB · #17
Josh Allen
WEEK 4 · vs NE · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS
20.6
floor 12.7 · ceiling 25.5 · half PPR
WEEK 4 · vs NE · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS
20.6
12.7 to 25.5
QB1HOW SURE, WEEK 4
- Projection 20.6
- Floor 12.7
- Ceiling 25.5
Not published yet.
Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.
THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT
Std 20.6 · Half 20.6 · PPR 20.6. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.
OUR RECORD ON ALLEN, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
- Week 1: projected 18.8, range 11.0 to 25.7, scored 35.7
- Week 2: projected 18.5, range 11.4 to 26.0, scored 40.8
- Week 3: projected 19.8, range 11.9 to 25.6, scored 19.0
- Week 4: projected 20.6, range 12.7 to 25.5, scored 18.5
- Week 7: bye
Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.
2 of 4 inside the band · mean error +9.1. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.
REST OF SEASON
13 games left
- 4NE20.6
- 5@LA-
- 6@LV-
- 7BYEno game
- 8BAL-
- 9@MIN-
- 10@NYJ-
- 11MIA-
- 12KC-
- 13@NE-
- 14@GB-
- 15CHI-
- 16@DEN-
- 17@MIA-
- 18NYJ-
This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.
RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN
9/8: QB5, 9/15: QB3, 9/22: QB1, 9/24: QB1, 9/27: QB1, 9/29: QB1, 10/1: QB1, 10/4: QB1
One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.
AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4
- QB1J.AllenBUF20.6
- QB2L.JacksonBAL19.4
- QB3T.LawrenceJAX19.1
- QB4T.ShoughNO18.9
- QB5B.YoungCAR18.0
CONTEXT
- DEPTH CHART
- QB1 · behind him K.Allen
- TEAM
- Bills · rating +6.5, 1st
- THIS WEEK'S GAME
- BUF 63% vs NE · open the game page
- LAST WEEK
- vs LAC · 19.0 pts
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score