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IND

COLTS · WR · #2

Josh Downs

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at WAS · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

7.7

floor 3.3 · ceiling 14.7 · half PPR

WR28Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at WAS · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

7.7

3.3 to 14.7

WR28
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 7.7
  • Floor 3.3
  • Ceiling 14.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 5.7Half PPR 7.7PPR 9.7
TGT 6.1REC 3.5 · 46REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 5.7 · Half 7.7 · PPR 9.7. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON DOWNS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 5.2, range 2.0 to 8.9, scored 4.7
  • Week 2: projected 5.8, range 2.3 to 13.7, scored 10.7
  • Week 3: projected 6.9, range 2.4 to 15.6, scored 10.2
  • Week 4: projected 7.7, range 3.3 to 14.7, scored 3.1
  • Week 13: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +0.8 Mean error −4.6, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +0.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@WAS7.7
  2. 5@PIT-
  3. 6TEN-
  4. 7@MIN-
  5. 8@JAX-
  6. 9DAL-
  7. 10MIA-
  8. 11@HOU-
  9. 12NYG-
  10. 13BYEno game
  11. 14@PHI-
  12. 15@TEN-
  13. 16CIN-
  14. 17@CLE-
  15. 18JAX-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR67, 9/15: WR66, 9/20: WR46, 9/22: WR37, 9/24: WR38, 9/27: WR32, 9/29: WR30, 10/1: WR30, 10/4: WR28

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR26T.McMillanCAR8.0
  2. WR27J.CokerCAR8.0
  3. WR28J.DownsIND7.7
  4. WR29C.SuttonDEN7.6
  5. WR30D.VeleNO7.5
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR1
TEAM
Colts · rating −0.6, 20th
LAST WEEK
vs HOU · 10.2 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 9:26 AM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-eadf2cc3 · scored weekly against the official box score