IND

AFC SOUTH · 2ND

Indianapolis Colts

1-2 · home 1-1 · away 0-1 · division 1-0

1-2 · home 1-1 · away 0-1

NEXT · WEEK 5 at PIT Steelers Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM · CBS IND 46% by 1, PIT Open →

OUR RATING −0.6 20th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 20th of 32

PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.

PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.

WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED −0.4 1-2 where our numbers expected 1.4 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 1-2, expected 1.4

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

Week	Rating
Preseason	−0.7
After week 1	−0.9
After week 2	−0.9
After week 3	−0.6

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast

P2 at NE Patriots Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs ATL Falcons Sat Aug 22 not forecast L 6-34 P4 vs DET Lions Sat Aug 29 not forecast L 16-25 1 vs BAL Ravens Sun Sep 13 IND 46% · by 2, BAL L 23-41 Hit 2 at KC Chiefs Sun Sep 20 IND 48% · by 1, KC L 30-33 Hit 3 vs HOU Texans Sun Sep 27 IND 50% · even W 19-17 Miss 4 at WAS Commanders Sun Oct 4 IND 45% · by 2, WAS W 30-13 Miss 5 at PIT Steelers Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 IND 46% · by 1, PIT · Next → 6 vs TEN Titans Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 IND 60% · by 4 · 7 at MIN Vikings Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 IND 38% · by 4, MIN · 8 at JAX Jaguars Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 IND 36% · by 6, JAX · 9 vs DAL Cowboys Sun Nov 8 · 1:00 IND 51% · even · 10 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 IND 66% · by 4 · 11 at HOU Texans Thu Nov 19 · 8:15 IND 41% · by 2, HOU · 12 vs NYG Giants Sun Nov 29 · 1:00 IND 60% · by 4 ·

14 at PHI Eagles Sun Dec 13 · 1:00 IND 44% · by 2, PHI · 15 at TEN Titans Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 IND 57% · by 3 · 16 vs CIN Bengals Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 IND 48% · by 1, CIN · 17 at CLE Browns Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 IND 52% · by 1 · 18 vs JAX Jaguars Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 IND 46% · by 1, JAX ·

SCHEDULE

P2 at NE Patriots Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs ATL Falcons Sat Aug 22 not forecast L 6-34 P4 vs DET Lions Sat Aug 29 not forecast L 16-25 1 vs BAL Ravens Sun Sep 13 IND 46% L 23-41 Hit 2 at KC Chiefs Sun Sep 20 IND 48% L 30-33 Hit 3 vs HOU Texans Sun Sep 27 IND 50% W 19-17 Miss 4 at WAS Commanders Sun Oct 4 IND 45% W 30-13 Miss 5 at PIT Steelers Sun 1:00 PM IND 46% · 6 vs TEN Titans Sun Oct 18 IND 60% · 7 at MIN Vikings Sun Oct 25 IND 38% · 8 at JAX Jaguars Sun Nov 1 IND 36% · 9 vs DAL Cowboys Sun Nov 8 IND 51% · 10 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 15 IND 66% · 11 at HOU Texans Thu Nov 19 IND 41% · 12 vs NYG Giants Sun Nov 29 IND 60% ·

14 at PHI Eagles Sun Dec 13 IND 44% · 15 at TEN Titans Sun Dec 20 IND 57% · 16 vs CIN Bengals Sun Dec 27 IND 48% · 17 at CLE Browns Sun Jan 3 IND 52% · 18 vs JAX Jaguars Sun Jan 10 IND 46% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 31ST HARDEST

31st hardest of 32 avg opponent rating −1.2

5 PIT +0.1 · 46% 46%

6 TEN −6.5 · 60% 60%

7 MIN +2.4 · 38% 38%

8 JAX +0.5 · 36% 36%

9 DAL −0.5 · 51% 51%

10 MIA −1.3 · 66% 66%

11 HOU +2.1 · 41% 41%

12 NYG −4.6 · 60% 60%

14 PHI +3.1 · 44% 44%

15 TEN −6.5 · 57% 57%

16 CIN 0.0 · 48% 48%

17 CLE −4.2 · 52% 52%

18 JAX +0.5 · 46% 46%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for IND. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for IND. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

AFC SOUTH

JAX Jaguars 2-1 +0.5 - 2-1 · +0.5 IND Colts 1-2 −0.6 - 1-2 · −0.6 HOU Texans 0-3 +2.1 - 0-3 · +2.1 TEN Titans 0-3 −6.5 - 0-3 · −6.5 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Keenan Allen WR WR Q · not injury related - resting player Q

Ashton Dulin WR WR Q · ankle Q

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4

D.Jones QB 15.2 QB17

J.Taylor RB 15.2 RB4

J.Downs WR 7.7 WR28

K.Allen WR 6.2 WR44

T.Warren TE 9.0 TE4

Depth chart, 49 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 24.0 / 30.3

Point diff per game −6.3

Home · Away · Division 1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0

Strength of schedule, remaining 31st

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54