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NE

PATRIOTS · WR · #86

Efton Chism III

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at BUF · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

2.0

floor 0.3 · ceiling 5.8 · half PPR

WR108Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at BUF · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

2.0

0.3 to 5.8

WR108
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 2.0
  • Floor 0.3
  • Ceiling 5.8

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 1.6Half PPR 2.0PPR 2.4
TGT 1.3REC 0.7 · 9REC TD 0.0RUSH 0.0 · 0RUSH TD 0.0

Std 1.6 · Half 2.0 · PPR 2.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON CHISM III, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 2.3, range 0.7 to 4.6, no stat line
  • Week 2: no projection on record
  • Week 3: projected 1.7, range 0.1 to 4.6, scored 1.2
  • Week 4: projected 2.0, range 0.3 to 5.8, scored 11.2
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 2 Inside the band +4.4 Mean error +9.2, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 2 inside the band · mean error +4.4. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@BUF2.0
  2. 5LV-
  3. 6NYJ-
  4. 7@CHI-
  5. 8@MIA-
  6. 9GB-
  7. 10@DET-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12@LAC-
  10. 13BUF-
  11. 14MIN-
  12. 15@KC-
  13. 16@NYJ-
  14. 17DEN-
  15. 18MIA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: WR142, 9/15: WR116, 9/20: not ranked, 9/22: WR123, 9/24: WR122, 9/27: WR121, 9/29: WR112, 10/1: WR110, 10/4: WR108

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT WR, WEEK 4

  1. WR106C.DikeTEN2.0
  2. WR107J.WalkerCHI2.0
  3. WR108E.Chism IIINE2.0
  4. WR109T.JohnsonTB1.9
  5. WR110K.WilliamsNE1.9
Full WR rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
WR5
TEAM
Patriots · rating −1.6, 23rd
LAST WEEK
at JAX · 1.2 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score