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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
NE

AFC EAST · T-2ND

New England Patriots

1-2 · home 1-0 · away 0-2 · division 0-0

1-2 · home 1-0 · away 0-2

NEXT · WEEK 5 vs LV Raiders Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 PM · CBS NE 55% by 2 Open →
OUR RATING −1.6 23rd of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 23rd of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED −0.4 1-2 where our numbers expected 1.4 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 1-2, expected 1.4

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

WeekRating
Preseason−1.6
After week 1−1.5
After week 2−1.3
After week 3−1.6

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast
P2 vs IND Colts Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs PHI Eagles Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 24-21 P4 at CLE Browns Thu Aug 27 not forecast L 13-37 1 at SEA Seahawks Wed Sep 9 NE 41% · by 3, SEA L 10-13 Hit 2 vs PIT Steelers Sun Sep 20 NE 61% · by 4 W 20-3 Hit 3 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 27 NE 40% · by 4, JAX L 6-35 Hit 4 at BUF Bills Sun Oct 4 NE 37% · by 7, BUF W 29-26 Miss 5 vs LV Raiders Sun Oct 11 · 1:00 NE 55% · by 2 · Next → 6 vs NYJ Jets Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 NE 55% · by 2 · 7 at CHI Bears Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 NE 37% · by 5, CHI · 8 at MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 NE 48% · by 1, MIA · 9 vs GB Packers Sun Nov 8 · 4:25 NE 45% · by 2, GB · 10 at DET Lions Sun Nov 15 · 9:30 NE 38% · by 6, DET ·
Week 11, bye
12 at LAC Chargers Sun Nov 29 · 8:20 NE 47% · by 1, LAC · 13 vs BUF Bills Sun Dec 6 · 4:25 NE 42% · by 4, BUF · 14 vs MIN Vikings Thu Dec 10 · 8:15 NE 54% · by 1 · 15 at KC Chiefs Mon Dec 21 · 8:15 NE 43% · by 3, KC · 16 at NYJ Jets Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 NE 58% · by 3 · 17 vs DEN Broncos Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 NE 53% · by 1 · 18 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 NE 56% · by 2 ·

SCHEDULE

P2 vs IND Colts Thu Aug 13 not forecast T 13-13 P3 vs PHI Eagles Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 24-21 P4 at CLE Browns Thu Aug 27 not forecast L 13-37 1 at SEA Seahawks Wed Sep 9 NE 41% L 10-13 Hit 2 vs PIT Steelers Sun Sep 20 NE 61% W 20-3 Hit 3 at JAX Jaguars Sun Sep 27 NE 40% L 6-35 Hit 4 at BUF Bills Sun Oct 4 NE 37% W 29-26 Miss 5 vs LV Raiders Sun 1:00 PM NE 55% · 6 vs NYJ Jets Sun Oct 18 NE 55% · 7 at CHI Bears Thu Oct 22 NE 37% · 8 at MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 1 NE 48% · 9 vs GB Packers Sun Nov 8 NE 45% · 10 at DET Lions Sun Nov 15 NE 38% ·
Week 11, bye
12 at LAC Chargers Sun Nov 29 NE 47% · 13 vs BUF Bills Sun Dec 6 NE 42% · 14 vs MIN Vikings Thu Dec 10 NE 54% · 15 at KC Chiefs Mon Dec 21 NE 43% · 16 at NYJ Jets Sun Dec 27 NE 58% · 17 vs DEN Broncos Sun Jan 3 NE 53% · 18 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 10 NE 56% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 11TH HARDEST

11th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.4
5 LV −4.2 · 55% 55%
6 NYJ −5.4 · 55% 55%
7 CHI +0.5 · 37% 37%
8 MIA −1.3 · 48% 48%
9 GB +2.5 · 45% 45%
10 DET +5.6 · 38% 38%
12 LAC +0.1 · 47% 47%
13 BUF +6.5 · 42% 42%
14 MIN +2.4 · 54% 54%
15 KC +3.6 · 43% 43%
16 NYJ −5.4 · 58% 58%
17 DEN +1.6 · 53% 53%
18 MIA −1.3 · 56% 56%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for NE. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for NE. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

AFC EAST

BUF Bills 3-0 +6.5 - 3-0 · +6.5 NE Patriots 1-2 −1.6 - 1-2 · −1.6 NYJ Jets 1-2 −5.4 - 1-2 · −5.4 MIA Dolphins 0-3 −1.3 - 0-3 · −1.3 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Christian Barmore DT DT OUT OUT
Brenden Schooler S S OUT OUT
Christian Gonzalez CB CB OUT OUT
Morgan Moses T T Q · foot Q
Dre'Mont Jones LB LB Q · shoulder Q
Reggie Gilliam FB FB Q · knee Q
Christian Elliss LB LB Q · chest Q
Craig Woodson S S Q · shoulder Q
Channing Canada CB CB Q · hamstring Q
Eli Raridon TE TE Q · thigh Q

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4

D.Maye QB 15.2 QB18
R.Stevenson RB 9.6 RB22
M.Hollins WR 6.0 WR45
R.Doubs WR 5.6 WR51
H.Henry TE 4.1 TE29
Depth chart, 54 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 12.0 / 17.0
Point diff per game −5.0
Home · Away · Division 1-0 · 0-2 · 0-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 11th

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54