NE 10 SEA 13 Final SF 27 LA 7 Final ATL 13 PIT 20 Final BAL 41 IND 23 Final BUF 36 HOU 31 Final CHI 59 CAR 37 Final CLE 10 JAX 34 Final NO 30 DET 31 Final NYJ 23 TEN 10 Final TB 27 CIN 33 Final ARI 26 LAC 14 Final GB 22 MIN 39 Final MIA 13 LV 27 Final WAS 22 PHI 24 Final DAL 20 NYG 28 Final DEN 10 KC 31 Final
Broncos at Chiefs, Week 1 2026
Broncos 0-0 10
DEN 10 FINAL 31
Mon Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET Mon Sep 14 GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium KC
Chiefs 0-0 31
DEN 52%
KC 48%
Miss 52% at kickoff · DEN by 1 52% at kickoff · DEN by 1 Market closed KC -2.5 · O/U 42.5
Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.
Games we called at 50 to 55%: 10 of 18 hit, this one included · Track record →
LINESCORE
Team1234OTT
DEN-----10
KC-----31
WHERE IT LANDED
We said DEN by 1. It finished KC by 21.
DEN by 22tieKC by 28
Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
BIGGEST SWINGS
Not published yet.
TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
KC K.Walker RB 12.7 → 32.6
KC P.Mahomes QB 15.4 → 21.7
KC R.Rice WR 11.3 → 8.9
Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.
Fantasy points, half PPR.
WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL
kickoff 52%
Not published yet.
Not published yet.
Chiefs Broncos hover a node for the clock, score and both readings
Tap a node for the clock, score and both readings.
PLAYERS
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
B.Nix QB16 16.0 7.4
J.Dobbins RB21 11.2 3.6
C.Sutton WR26 8.3 2.1
J.Waddle WR28 8.2 0.7
R.Harvey RB33 8.6 6.1
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
T.Kelce TE9 7.9 8.6
R.Rice WR11 11.3 8.9
K.Walker RB14 12.7 32.6
P.Mahomes QB21 15.4 21.7
J.Fields QB37 12.9 -
Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.
Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · 11:34 PM ET · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996
Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996