ATL at PIT · Week 1

NE 10 SEA 13 Final Final SF 27 LA 7 Final Final ATL 13 PIT 20 Final Final BAL 41 IND 23 Final Final BUF 36 HOU 31 Final Final CHI 59 CAR 37 Final Final CLE 10 JAX 34 Final Final NO 30 DET 31 Final Final NYJ 23 TEN 10 Final Final TB 27 CIN 33 Final Final ARI 26 LAC 14 Final Final GB 22 MIN 39 Final Final MIA 13 LV 27 Final Final WAS 22 PHI 24 Final Final DAL 20 NYG 28 Final Final DEN 10 KC 31 Final Final

Falcons 0-0 13

ATL

13 FINAL 20

Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Sun Sep 13 Acrisure Stadium

PIT

Steelers 0-0 20

ATL 48%

PIT 52%

Hit 52% at kickoff · PIT by 1 52% at kickoff · PIT by 1 Market closed PIT -6.5 · O/U 40.5

Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.

Games we called at 50 to 55%: 10 of 18 hit, this one included · Track record →

LINESCORE

Team1234OTT

ATL-----13

PIT-----20

WHERE IT LANDED

We said PIT by 1. It finished PIT by 7.

ATL by 20tiePIT by 26

Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.

BIGGEST SWINGS

Not published yet.

TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

ATL B.Robinson RB 17.1 → 27.3

PIT P.Freiermuth TE 4.8 → 13.1

PIT A.Rodgers QB 13.8 → 12.5

Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.

Fantasy points, half PPR.

WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL

kickoff 52%

Steelers Falcons

PLAYERS

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

B.Robinson RB1 17.1 27.3

K.Pitts TE7 8.8 0.0

D.London WR13 10.9 4.5

T.Tagovailoa QB21 16.2 -

M.Penix QB28 14.3 -

PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL

P.Freiermuth TE24 4.8 13.1

R.Dowdle RB33 9.4 3.1

A.Rodgers QB34 13.8 12.5

D.Metcalf WR38 7.5 6.0

D.Washington TE39 4.2 2.8

Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.

Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · 11:34 PM ET · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996

Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996

Falcons at Steelers, Week 1 2026