NE 10 SEA 13 Final SF 27 LA 7 Final ATL 13 PIT 20 Final BAL 41 IND 23 Final BUF 36 HOU 31 Final CHI 59 CAR 37 Final CLE 10 JAX 34 Final NO 30 DET 31 Final NYJ 23 TEN 10 Final TB 27 CIN 33 Final ARI 26 LAC 14 Final GB 22 MIN 39 Final MIA 13 LV 27 Final WAS 22 PHI 24 Final DAL 20 NYG 28 Final DEN 10 KC 31 Final
Bills at Texans, Week 1 2026
Bills 0-0 36
BUF 36 FINAL 31
Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Sun Sep 13 Reliant Stadium HOU
Texans 0-0 31
BUF 56%
HOU 44%
Hit 56% at kickoff · BUF by 2 56% at kickoff · BUF by 2 Market closed BUF -1.5 · O/U 44.5
Closing line from the market, shown for research. Not our number and not advice.
Games we called at 55 to 60%: 10 of 18 hit, this one included · Track record →
LINESCORE
Team1234OTT
BUF-----36
HOU-----31
WHERE IT LANDED
We said BUF by 2. It finished BUF by 5.
BUF by 28tieHOU by 20
Bar: 9 in 10 land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
Bar: 9 in 10 runs land inside. Tick: our median. Ring: the final margin.
BIGGEST SWINGS
Not published yet.
TOP PERFORMERS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL
BUF J.Allen QB 18.8 → 35.7
HOU C.Stroud QB 16.6 → 20.5
BUF D.Moore WR 8.4 → 18.5
Grey bar: what we projected. Tick: what they scored. Fantasy points, half PPR.
Fantasy points, half PPR.
WIN PROBABILITY, FIRST RUN TO FINAL
kickoff 56%
Not published yet.
Not published yet.
Texans Bills hover a node for the clock, score and both readings
Tap a node for the clock, score and both readings.
PLAYERS
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
J.Allen QB5 18.8 35.7
D.Moore WR25 8.4 18.5
D.Knox TE25 4.7 1.2
J.Cook RB27 10.5 8.4
K.Shakir WR35 7.6 6.0
PLAYER POS RANK PROJ ACTUAL
N.Collins WR11 11.2 17.7
D.Schultz TE11 7.8 5.5
C.Stroud QB18 16.6 20.5
W.Marks RB21 11.5 4.5
M.Klein TE29 4.5 2.1
Proj is what we published before kickoff. Actual is what they scored. Green when they beat the projection.
Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · 11:34 PM ET · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996
Week 1 · published Mon Sep 14 · run 2026-01-refresh-b1396996