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LA

RAMS · QB · #9

Matthew Stafford

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.2

floor 12.4 · ceiling 24.0 · half PPR

QB13Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.2

12.4 to 24.0

QB13
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 16.2
  • Floor 12.4
  • Ceiling 24.0

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.2Half PPR 16.2PPR 16.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 33.7PASS YDS 245PASS TD 1.6INT 0.6RUSH 2.0 · 3RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.2 · Half 16.2 · PPR 16.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON STAFFORD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 15.0, range 9.8 to 22.9, scored 4.1
  • Week 2: projected 16.5, range 12.6 to 23.5, scored 27.0
  • Week 3: projected 16.5, range 11.4 to 23.9, scored 20.9
  • Week 4: projected 16.2, range 12.4 to 24.0, scored 9.7
  • Week 11: bye
1 of 4 Inside the band −0.6 Mean error −10.9, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

1 of 4 inside the band · mean error −0.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@PHI16.2
  2. 5BUF-
  3. 6ARI-
  4. 7@LV-
  5. 8LAC-
  6. 9@WAS-
  7. 10@ARI-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12GB-
  10. 13KC-
  11. 14@SF-
  12. 15DAL-
  13. 16@SEA-
  14. 17@TB-
  15. 18SEA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB24, 9/15: QB32, 9/20: QB17, 9/21: QB17, 9/22: QB11, 9/24: QB12, 9/27: QB11, 9/29: QB14, 10/1: QB14, 10/4: QB13

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB11C.StroudHOU16.4
  2. QB12D.PrescottDAL16.2
  3. QB13M.StaffordLA16.2
  4. QB14J.HurtsPHI16.2
  5. QB15B.NixDEN16.1
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Bennett
TEAM
Rams · rating +3.0, 8th
LAST WEEK
at DEN · 20.9 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score