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HOU

TEXANS · QB · #7

C.J. Stroud

bye Week 8 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.4

floor 11.2 · ceiling 21.9 · half PPR

QB11Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.4

11.2 to 21.9

QB11
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 16.4
  • Floor 11.2
  • Ceiling 21.9

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.4Half PPR 16.4PPR 16.46-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.9PASS YDS 218PASS TD 1.8INT 0.3RUSH 2.2 · 6RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.4 · Half 16.4 · PPR 16.4. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON STROUD, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 16.6, range 9.6 to 22.7, scored 20.5
  • Week 2: projected 16.6, range 10.5 to 23.1, scored 17.0
  • Week 3: projected 16.0, range 11.5 to 24.2, scored 11.7
  • Week 4: projected 16.4, range 11.2 to 21.9, scored 23.1
  • Week 8: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +1.7 Mean error +6.7, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +1.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4DAL16.4
  2. 5@TEN-
  3. 6@JAX-
  4. 7NYG-
  5. 8BYEno game
  6. 9@LAC-
  7. 10@CLE-
  8. 11IND-
  9. 12BAL-
  10. 13@PIT-
  11. 14@WAS-
  12. 15JAX-
  13. 16@PHI-
  14. 17@GB-
  15. 18TEN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB18, 9/15: QB13, 9/20: QB16, 9/22: QB19, 9/24: QB16, 9/27: QB15, 9/29: QB12, 10/1: QB12, 10/4: QB11

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB9M.MariotaWAS16.9
  2. QB10J.BurrowCIN16.8
  3. QB11C.StroudHOU16.4
  4. QB12D.PrescottDAL16.2
  5. QB13M.StaffordLA16.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him D.Mills
TEAM
Texans · rating +2.1, 11th
LAST WEEK
at IND · 11.7 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score