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DAL

COWBOYS · QB · #4

Dak Prescott

bye Week 14 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at HOU · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.2

floor 11.1 · ceiling 23.4 · half PPR

QB12Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at HOU · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

16.2

11.1 to 23.4

QB12
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 16.2
  • Floor 11.1
  • Ceiling 23.4

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.2Half PPR 16.2PPR 16.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 34.0PASS YDS 251PASS TD 1.5INT 0.8RUSH 2.9 · 9RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.2 · Half 16.2 · PPR 16.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON PRESCOTT, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 19.3, range 11.8 to 25.0, scored 14.4
  • Week 2: projected 16.8, range 10.3 to 24.0, scored 29.8
  • Week 3: projected 16.6, range 10.6 to 23.8, scored 16.9
  • Week 4: projected 16.2, range 11.1 to 23.4, scored 18.1
  • Week 14: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +2.6 Mean error +13.0, Week 2 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +2.6. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@HOU16.2
  2. 5TB-
  3. 6@GB-
  4. 7@PHI-
  5. 8ARI-
  6. 9@IND-
  7. 10SF-
  8. 11TEN-
  9. 12PHI-
  10. 13@SEA-
  11. 14BYEno game
  12. 15@LA-
  13. 16JAX-
  14. 17NYG-
  15. 18@WAS-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB3, 9/15: QB4, 9/20: QB11, 9/22: QB12, 9/24: QB11, 9/27: QB10, 9/29: QB13, 10/1: QB13, 10/4: QB12

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB10J.BurrowCIN16.8
  2. QB11C.StroudHOU16.4
  3. QB12D.PrescottDAL16.2
  4. QB13M.StaffordLA16.2
  5. QB14J.HurtsPHI16.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Howell
TEAM
Cowboys · rating −0.5, 19th
LAST WEEK
vs BAL · 16.9 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score