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NYJ

JETS · QB · #7

Geno Smith

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CHI · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.9

floor 8.3 · ceiling 19.1 · half PPR

QB21Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at CHI · Sun 1:00 PM · Fox

14.9

8.3 to 19.1

QB21
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 14.9
  • Floor 8.3
  • Ceiling 19.1

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 14.9Half PPR 14.9PPR 14.96-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.5PASS YDS 226PASS TD 1.2INT 0.5RUSH 2.8 · 6RUSH TD 0.0

Std 14.9 · Half 14.9 · PPR 14.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON SMITH, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 14.2, range 6.9 to 18.1, scored 9.3
  • Week 2: projected 14.9, range 7.6 to 19.9, scored 15.6
  • Week 3: projected 14.6, range 8.0 to 19.0, scored 26.0
  • Week 4: projected 14.9, range 8.3 to 19.1, scored 8.8
  • Week 13: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +0.3 Mean error +11.4, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +0.3. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@CHI14.9
  2. 5CLE-
  3. 6@NE-
  4. 7MIA-
  5. 8LV-
  6. 9@KC-
  7. 10BUF-
  8. 11@LAC-
  9. 12@MIA-
  10. 13BYEno game
  11. 14DEN-
  12. 15@ARI-
  13. 16NE-
  14. 17MIN-
  15. 18@BUF-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB31, 9/15: QB33, 9/20: QB23, 9/22: QB23, 9/24: QB24, 9/27: QB23, 9/29: QB23, 10/1: QB23, 10/4: QB21

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB19M.WillisMIA15.1
  2. QB20J.BrissettARI14.9
  3. QB21G.SmithNYJ14.9
  4. QB22K.MurrayMIN14.4
  5. QB23M.Penix Jr.ATL14.4
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him C.Klubnik
TEAM
Jets · rating −5.4, 30th
LAST WEEK
at DET · 26.0 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score