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MIA

DOLPHINS · QB · #2

Malik Willis

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at MIN · Sun 4:05 PM · Fox

15.1

floor 8.1 · ceiling 23.3 · half PPR

QB19Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at MIN · Sun 4:05 PM · Fox

15.1

8.1 to 23.3

QB19
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 15.1
  • Floor 8.1
  • Ceiling 23.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 15.1Half PPR 15.1PPR 15.16-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 24.5PASS YDS 189PASS TD 0.8INT 0.6RUSH 5.8 · 24RUSH TD 0.0

Std 15.1 · Half 15.1 · PPR 15.1. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WILLIS, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 11.8, range 4.2 to 16.3, scored 16.7
  • Week 2: projected 12.8, range 6.1 to 20.1, scored 12.5
  • Week 3: projected 13.2, range 7.3 to 20.0, scored 12.0
  • Week 4: projected 15.1, range 8.1 to 23.3, scored 4.5
  • Week 6: bye
2 of 4 Inside the band −1.8 Mean error −10.6, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

2 of 4 inside the band · mean error −1.8. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@MIN15.1
  2. 5CIN-
  3. 6BYEno game
  4. 7@NYJ-
  5. 8NE-
  6. 9DET-
  7. 10@IND-
  8. 11@BUF-
  9. 12NYJ-
  10. 13@DEN-
  11. 14CHI-
  12. 15@GB-
  13. 16LAC-
  14. 17BUF-
  15. 18@NE-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB41, 9/15: QB37, 9/20: QB29, 9/22: QB28, 9/24: QB28, 9/27: QB27, 9/29: QB21, 10/1: QB21, 10/4: QB19

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB17D.JonesIND15.2
  2. QB18D.MayeNE15.2
  3. QB19M.WillisMIA15.1
  4. QB20J.BrissettARI14.9
  5. QB21G.SmithNYJ14.9
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him K.McCord
TEAM
Dolphins · rating −1.3, 21st
LAST WEEK
vs KC · 12.0 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 4:01 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-3475ae2c · scored weekly against the official box score