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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
CIN

BENGALS · QB · #9

Joe Burrow

bye Week 6 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.8

floor 11.0 · ceiling 24.3 · half PPR

QB10Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

16.8

11.0 to 24.3

QB10
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 16.8
  • Floor 11.0
  • Ceiling 24.3

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 16.8Half PPR 16.8PPR 16.86-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 33.8PASS YDS 255PASS TD 1.7INT 0.3RUSH 2.1 · 5RUSH TD 0.0

Std 16.8 · Half 16.8 · PPR 16.8. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON BURROW, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 18.6, range 10.8 to 23.8, scored 14.2
  • Week 2: projected 16.5, range 10.1 to 22.0, scored 16.2
  • Week 3: projected 17.3, range 11.4 to 23.7, scored 24.6
  • Week 4: projected 16.8, range 11.0 to 24.3, scored 23.7
  • Week 6: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band +2.4 Mean error +7.3, Week 3 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error +2.4. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4JAX16.8
  2. 5@MIA-
  3. 6BYEno game
  4. 7@BAL-
  5. 8TEN-
  6. 9@ATL-
  7. 10PIT-
  8. 11@WAS-
  9. 12NO-
  10. 13@CLE-
  11. 14KC-
  12. 15@CAR-
  13. 16@IND-
  14. 17BAL-
  15. 18CLE-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB6, 9/15: QB6, 9/20: QB18, 9/22: QB5, 9/24: QB7, 9/27: QB6, 9/29: QB11, 10/1: QB11, 10/4: QB10

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB8B.PurdySF17.5
  2. QB9M.MariotaWAS16.9
  3. QB10J.BurrowCIN16.8
  4. QB11C.StroudHOU16.4
  5. QB12D.PrescottDAL16.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him J.Flacco
TEAM
Bengals · rating 0.0, 18th
LAST WEEK
at PIT · 24.6 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score