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CLE

BROWNS · QB · #4

Deshaun Watson

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs PIT · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

15.9

floor 9.9 · ceiling 20.7 · half PPR

QB17Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · vs PIT · Thu 8:15 PM · Prime Video

15.9

9.9 to 20.7

QB17
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 15.9
  • Floor 9.9
  • Ceiling 20.7

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 15.9Half PPR 15.9PPR 15.96-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.5PASS YDS 224PASS TD 1.1INT 0.3RUSH 6.7 · 25RUSH TD 0.0

Std 15.9 · Half 15.9 · PPR 15.9. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON WATSON, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: no projection on record
  • Week 2: projected 14.8, range 9.1 to 20.5, scored 19.7
  • Week 3: projected 16.4, range 10.0 to 20.8, scored 18.3
  • Week 4: projected 15.9, range 9.9 to 20.7, scored 14.9
  • Week 11: bye
3 of 3 Inside the band +2.0 Mean error none yet Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 3 inside the band · mean error +2.0. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4PIT15.9
  2. 5@NYJ-
  3. 6BAL-
  4. 7@TEN-
  5. 8@PIT-
  6. 9@NO-
  7. 10HOU-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12LV-
  10. 13CIN-
  11. 14ATL-
  12. 15@NYG-
  13. 16@BAL-
  14. 17IND-
  15. 18@CIN-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: not ranked, 9/15: not ranked, 9/20: QB24, 9/22: QB14, 9/24: QB13, 9/27: QB12, 9/29: QB17, 10/1: QB17

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB15J.HurtsPHI16.2
  2. QB16B.NixDEN16.1
  3. QB17D.WatsonCLE15.9
  4. QB18M.MariotaWAS15.7
  5. QB19D.JonesIND15.2
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him S.Sanders
TEAM
Browns · rating −4.2, 27th
LAST WEEK
vs CAR · 18.3 pts

Week 4 · published Thu Oct 1 · 8:10 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-4eb0bb34 · scored weekly against the official box score