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IND

COLTS · QB · #17

Daniel Jones

bye Week 13 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at WAS · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

15.2

floor 8.7 · ceiling 21.4 · half PPR

QB17Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at WAS · Sun 9:30 AM · NFL Net

15.2

8.7 to 21.4

QB17
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 15.2
  • Floor 8.7
  • Ceiling 21.4

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 15.2Half PPR 15.2PPR 15.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 31.7PASS YDS 235PASS TD 1.3INT 0.4RUSH 2.5 · 5RUSH TD 0.0

Std 15.2 · Half 15.2 · PPR 15.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON JONES, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 15.1, range 9.4 to 21.5, scored 9.0
  • Week 2: projected 13.8, range 8.4 to 20.2, scored 11.4
  • Week 3: projected 13.6, range 8.1 to 19.8, scored 11.9
  • Week 4: projected 15.2, range 8.7 to 21.4, scored 9.9
  • Week 13: bye
3 of 4 Inside the band −3.9 Mean error −6.1, Week 1 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

3 of 4 inside the band · mean error −3.9. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@WAS15.2
  2. 5@PIT-
  3. 6TEN-
  4. 7@MIN-
  5. 8@JAX-
  6. 9DAL-
  7. 10MIA-
  8. 11@HOU-
  9. 12NYG-
  10. 13BYEno game
  11. 14@PHI-
  12. 15@TEN-
  13. 16CIN-
  14. 17@CLE-
  15. 18JAX-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB23, 9/15: QB21, 9/20: QB27, 9/22: QB26, 9/24: QB26, 9/27: QB25, 9/29: QB19, 10/1: QB19, 10/4: QB17

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB15B.NixDEN16.1
  2. QB16D.WatsonCLE15.9
  3. QB17D.JonesIND15.2
  4. QB18D.MayeNE15.2
  5. QB19M.WillisMIA15.1
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him A.Richardson
TEAM
Colts · rating −0.6, 20th
LAST WEEK
vs HOU · 11.9 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 9:26 AM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-eadf2cc3 · scored weekly against the official box score