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NE

PATRIOTS · QB · #10

Drake Maye

bye Week 11 Healthy

WEEK 4 · at BUF · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

15.2

floor 8.2 · ceiling 21.1 · half PPR

QB18Not published yet.
Start or sit
Healthy

WEEK 4 · at BUF · Sun 1:00 PM · CBS

15.2

8.2 to 21.1

QB18
Not published yet. Start or sit

HOW SURE, WEEK 4

  • Projection 15.2
  • Floor 8.2
  • Ceiling 21.1

Not published yet.

Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentiles of our projection; the projection is the median. The ranking and Start or sit read the same numbers.

THE STAT LINE BEHIND IT

Standard 15.2Half PPR 15.2PPR 15.26-pt pass TD -Quarterbacks do not catch passes, so the formats agree.
CMP -ATT 30.0PASS YDS 210PASS TD 0.9INT 0.0RUSH 5.1 · 20RUSH TD 0.0

Std 15.2 · Half 15.2 · PPR 15.2. Source: Model · engine2-0.2.0.

OUR RECORD ON MAYE, PROJECTED VS ACTUAL

  • Week 1: projected 17.6, range 11.1 to 24.8, scored 9.8
  • Week 2: projected 15.8, range 10.1 to 21.8, scored 8.0
  • Week 3: projected 15.8, range 9.8 to 21.0, scored 5.8
  • Week 4: projected 15.2, range 8.2 to 21.1, scored 26.2
  • Week 11: bye
0 of 4 Inside the band −3.7 Mean error +11.0, Week 4 Biggest miss Not published yet. 2025

Grey bar: what we projected before kickoff, with the band. Tick: what he scored, from the official box score once it is published.

0 of 4 inside the band · mean error −3.7. Grey: our band. Green: what he scored.

REST OF SEASON

13 games left

  1. 4@BUF15.2
  2. 5LV-
  3. 6NYJ-
  4. 7@CHI-
  5. 8@MIA-
  6. 9GB-
  7. 10@DET-
  8. 11BYEno game
  9. 12@LAC-
  10. 13BUF-
  11. 14MIN-
  12. 15@KC-
  13. 16@NYJ-
  14. 17DEN-
  15. 18MIA-

This week's projection, then each week's opponent. Bye dashed.

RANK AT THE POSITION, BY RUN

9/8: QB9, 9/15: QB5, 9/20: QB20, 9/22: QB18, 9/24: QB19, 9/27: QB18, 9/29: QB20, 10/1: QB20, 10/4: QB18

One point per day with a run on file: its newest, none after his kickoff. Lower is better.

AROUND HIM AT QB, WEEK 4

  1. QB16D.WatsonCLE15.9
  2. QB17D.JonesIND15.2
  3. QB18D.MayeNE15.2
  4. QB19M.WillisMIA15.1
  5. QB20J.BrissettARI14.9
Full QB rankings

CONTEXT

DEPTH CHART
QB1 · behind him T.DeVito
TEAM
Patriots · rating −1.6, 23rd
LAST WEEK
at JAX · 5.8 pts

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 12:59 PM ET · run 2026-04-inactives-7e44605b · scored weekly against the official box score