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Players, teams and this week's games. Type a position like "rb" for the list.
ATL

NFC SOUTH · T-1ST

Atlanta Falcons

1-2 · home 0-1 · away 1-1 · division 0-1

1-2 · home 0-1 · away 1-1

NEXT · WEEK 4 at NO Saints Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 PM · ESPN ATL 38% by 4, NO Open →
OUR RATING −3.0 25th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 25th of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED −0.4 1-2 where our numbers expected 1.4 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 1-2, expected 1.4

OUR RATING, WEEK BY WEEK

WeekRating
Preseason−2.8
After week 1−2.8
After week 2−3.3
After week 3−3.0

Points better than an average team on a neutral field. The preseason prior comes from last season and the offseason; the line starts moving after Week 1.

Points better than average, neutral field. Moves after each week.

PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK

Not published yet.

SCHEDULE

Preseason games are never forecast
P2 vs DEN Broncos Fri Aug 14 not forecast L 7-27 P3 at IND Colts Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 34-6 P4 at MIA Dolphins Fri Aug 28 not forecast W 17-12 1 at PIT Steelers Sun Sep 13 ATL 47% · by 1, PIT L 13-20 Hit 2 vs CAR Panthers Sun Sep 20 ATL 58% · by 2 L 3-34 Miss 3 at GB Packers Thu Sep 24 ATL 40% · by 5, GB W 35-14 Miss 4 at NO Saints Mon Oct 5 · 8:15 ATL 38% · by 4, NO · Next → 5 vs BAL Ravens Sun Oct 11 · 8:20 ATL 42% · by 4, BAL · 6 vs CHI Bears Sun Oct 18 · 1:00 ATL 48% · even · 7 vs SF 49ers Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 ATL 39% · by 4, SF · 8 at TB Buccaneers Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 ATL 36% · by 3, TB · 9 vs CIN Bengals Sun Nov 8 · 9:30 ATL 45% · by 2, CIN · 10 vs KC Chiefs Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 ATL 48% · by 1, KC ·
Week 11, bye
12 at MIN Vikings Sun Nov 29 · 1:00 ATL 38% · by 4, MIN · 13 vs DET Lions Sun Dec 6 · 1:00 ATL 45% · by 2, DET · 14 at CLE Browns Sun Dec 13 · 1:00 ATL 44% · by 2, CLE · 15 at WAS Commanders Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 ATL 33% · by 5, WAS · 16 vs TB Buccaneers Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 ATL 50% · even · 17 vs NO Saints Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 ATL 48% · by 1, NO · 18 at CAR Panthers Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 ATL 40% · by 2, CAR ·

SCHEDULE

P2 vs DEN Broncos Fri Aug 14 not forecast L 7-27 P3 at IND Colts Sat Aug 22 not forecast W 34-6 P4 at MIA Dolphins Fri Aug 28 not forecast W 17-12 1 at PIT Steelers Sun Sep 13 ATL 47% L 13-20 Hit 2 vs CAR Panthers Sun Sep 20 ATL 58% L 3-34 Miss 3 at GB Packers Thu Sep 24 ATL 40% W 35-14 Miss 4 at NO Saints Mon 8:15 PM ATL 38% · 5 vs BAL Ravens Sun Oct 11 ATL 42% · 6 vs CHI Bears Sun Oct 18 ATL 48% · 7 vs SF 49ers Sun Oct 25 ATL 39% · 8 at TB Buccaneers Sun Nov 1 ATL 36% · 9 vs CIN Bengals Sun Nov 8 ATL 45% · 10 vs KC Chiefs Sun Nov 15 ATL 48% ·
Week 11, bye
12 at MIN Vikings Sun Nov 29 ATL 38% · 13 vs DET Lions Sun Dec 6 ATL 45% · 14 at CLE Browns Sun Dec 13 ATL 44% · 15 at WAS Commanders Sun Dec 20 ATL 33% · 16 vs TB Buccaneers Sun Dec 27 ATL 50% · 17 vs NO Saints Sun Jan 3 ATL 48% · 18 at CAR Panthers Sun Jan 10 ATL 40% ·

SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES

Not published yet.

REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD

REMAINING SCHEDULE · 9TH HARDEST

9th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.5
4 NO −1.5 · 38% 38%
5 BAL +6.2 · 42% 42%
6 CHI +0.5 · 48% 48%
7 SF +3.4 · 39% 39%
8 TB +1.1 · 36% 36%
9 CIN 0.0 · 45% 45%
10 KC +3.6 · 48% 48%
12 MIN +2.4 · 38% 38%
13 DET +5.6 · 45% 45%
14 CLE −4.2 · 44% 44%
15 WAS −3.0 · 33% 33%
16 TB +1.1 · 50% 50%
17 NO −1.5 · 48% 48%
18 CAR −6.6 · 40% 40%

Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for ATL. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

Week, opponent, our number for ATL. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.

NFC SOUTH

NO Saints 1-2 −1.5 - 1-2 · −1.5 ATL Falcons 1-2 −3.0 - 1-2 · −3.0 CAR Panthers 1-2 −6.6 - 1-2 · −6.6 TB Buccaneers 0-3 +1.1 - 0-3 · +1.1 Whole conference →

INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US

Samson Ebukam DE DE Q · hamstring Q
Divine Deablo LB LB Q · hamstring Q
Yasir Abdullah LB LB Q · illness Q

Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS

KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4

M.Penix Jr. QB 14.4 QB23
B.Robinson RB 15.5 RB3
D.London WR 10.1 WR12
J.Dotson WR 2.9 WR89
K.Pitts TE 6.2 TE18
Depth chart, 53 on the roster →

SEASON SO FAR

Points for / against per game 17.0 / 22.7
Point diff per game −5.7
Home · Away · Division 0-1 · 1-1 · 0-1
Strength of schedule, remaining 9th

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54

Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54