TB
NEXT · WEEK 5 at DAL Cowboys Thu Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video Thu Oct 8 · 8:15 PM · Prime Video TB 48% by 1, DAL Open → NFC SOUTH · 4TH
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-3 · home 0-2 · away 0-1 · division 0-0
0-3 · home 0-2 · away 0-1
OUR RATING +1.1 13th of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 13th of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED −1.5 0-3 where our numbers expected 1.5 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 0-3, expected 1.5
PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK
Not published yet.
SCHEDULE
Preseason games are never forecast Week 10, bye
11 at DET Lions Sun Nov 22 · 1:00 TB 42% · by 4, DET · 12 vs CAR Panthers Mon Nov 30 · 8:15 TB 61% · by 4 · 13 vs LAC Chargers Sun Dec 6 · 1:00 TB 65% · by 4 · 14 at BAL Ravens Sun Dec 13 · 1:00 TB 33% · by 6, BAL · 15 vs NO Saints Sun Dec 20 · 1:00 TB 51% · even · 16 at ATL Falcons Sun Dec 27 · 1:00 TB 50% · even · 17 vs LA Rams Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 TB 44% · by 3, LA · 18 at NO Saints Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 TB 46% · by 2, NO · SCHEDULE
Week 10, bye
11 at DET Lions Sun Nov 22 TB 42% · 12 vs CAR Panthers Mon Nov 30 TB 61% · 13 vs LAC Chargers Sun Dec 6 TB 65% · 14 at BAL Ravens Sun Dec 13 TB 33% · 15 vs NO Saints Sun Dec 20 TB 51% · 16 at ATL Falcons Sun Dec 27 TB 50% · 17 vs LA Rams Sun Jan 3 TB 44% · 18 at NO Saints Sun Jan 10 TB 46% · SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES
Not published yet.
REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD
REMAINING SCHEDULE · 21ST HARDEST
21st hardest of 32 avg opponent rating −0.6
5 DAL −0.5 · 48% 48%
6 PIT +0.1 · 66% 66%
7 CAR −6.6 · 50% 50%
8 ATL −3.0 · 64% 64%
9 CHI +0.5 · 38% 38%
11 DET +5.6 · 42% 42%
12 CAR −6.6 · 61% 61%
13 LAC +0.1 · 65% 65%
14 BAL +6.2 · 33% 33%
15 NO −1.5 · 51% 51%
16 ATL −3.0 · 50% 50%
17 LA +3.0 · 44% 44%
18 NO −1.5 · 46% 46%
Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for TB. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
Week, opponent, our number for TB. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
NFC SOUTH
NO Saints 1-2 - 1-2 · −1.5 ATL Falcons 1-2 - 1-2 · −3.0 CAR Panthers 1-2 - 1-2 · −6.6 TB Buccaneers 0-3 - 0-3 · +1.1 Whole conference →INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US
Baker Mayfield QB QB OUT OUT
Ko Kieft TE TE OUT OUT
Benjamin Morrison CB CB OUT OUT
Rueben Bain Jr. LB LB OUT OUT
Rakeem Nunez-Roches DT DT Q · ankle Q
SirVocea Dennis LB LB Q · calf Q
Jacob Parrish CB CB Q · not injury related - personal matter Q
Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4
J.Daniels QB 4.8 QB37
B.Irving RB 12.0 RB16
C.Godwin Jr. WR 6.8 WR36
E.Egbuka WR 6.3 WR41
C.Otton TE 7.7 TE10
Depth chart, 55 on the roster → SEASON SO FAR
Points for / against per game 20.7 / 26.3
Point diff per game −5.6
Home · Away · Division 0-2 · 0-1 · 0-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 21st
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54