BUF
NEXT · WEEK 5 at LA Rams Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN Mon Oct 12 · 8:15 PM · ESPN BUF 57% by 3 Open → AFC EAST · 1ST
Buffalo Bills
3-0 · home 2-0 · away 1-0 · division 0-0
3-0 · home 2-0 · away 1-0
OUR RATING +6.5 1st of 32 · points better than an average team on a neutral field 1st of 32
PROJECTED WINS PROJ WINS - Not published yet.
PLAYOFFS - Not published yet.
WINS VS EXPECTATION WINS VS EXPECTED +1.1 3-0 where our numbers expected 1.9 wins. Positive is running hot; it tends to come back. 3-0, expected 1.9
PLAYOFF ODDS, WEEK BY WEEK
Not published yet.
SCHEDULE
Preseason games are never forecast Week 7, bye
8 vs BAL Ravens Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 BUF 63% · by 4 · 9 at MIN Vikings Mon Nov 9 · 8:15 BUF 51% · even · 10 at NYJ Jets Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 BUF 64% · by 6 · 11 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 22 · 1:00 BUF 72% · by 9 · 12 vs KC Chiefs Thu Nov 26 · 8:20 BUF 65% · by 8 · 13 at NE Patriots Sun Dec 6 · 4:25 BUF 58% · by 4 · 14 at GB Packers Sun Dec 13 · 8:20 BUF 59% · by 4 · 15 vs CHI Bears Sat Dec 19 · 8:20 BUF 66% · by 6 · 16 at DEN Broncos Fri Dec 25 · 4:30 BUF 55% · by 2 · 17 at MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 3 · 1:00 BUF 60% · by 6 · 18 vs NYJ Jets Sun Jan 10 · 1:00 BUF 70% · by 10 · SCHEDULE
Week 7, bye
8 vs BAL Ravens Sun Nov 1 BUF 63% · 9 at MIN Vikings Mon Nov 9 BUF 51% · 10 at NYJ Jets Sun Nov 15 BUF 64% · 11 vs MIA Dolphins Sun Nov 22 BUF 72% · 12 vs KC Chiefs Thu Nov 26 BUF 65% · 13 at NE Patriots Sun Dec 6 BUF 58% · 14 at GB Packers Sun Dec 13 BUF 59% · 15 vs CHI Bears Sat Dec 19 BUF 66% · 16 at DEN Broncos Fri Dec 25 BUF 55% · 17 at MIA Dolphins Sun Jan 3 BUF 60% · 18 vs NYJ Jets Sun Jan 10 BUF 70% · SEASON, IF WE RAN IT 100 TIMES
Not published yet.
REMAINING SCHEDULE, HOW HARD
REMAINING SCHEDULE · 18TH HARDEST
18th hardest of 32 avg opponent rating +0.1
5 LA +3.0 · 57% 57%
6 LV −4.2 · 61% 61%
8 BAL +6.2 · 63% 63%
9 MIN +2.4 · 51% 51%
10 NYJ −5.4 · 64% 64%
11 MIA −1.3 · 72% 72%
12 KC +3.6 · 65% 65%
13 NE −1.6 · 58% 58%
14 GB +2.5 · 59% 59%
15 CHI +0.5 · 66% 66%
16 DEN +1.6 · 55% 55%
17 MIA −1.3 · 60% 60%
18 NYJ −5.4 · 70% 70%
Each tile: week, opponent, their rating, our number for BUF. Red border: games we currently lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
Week, opponent, our number for BUF. Red border: we lean against. Filled: 65% or better.
AFC EAST
BUF Bills 3-0 - 3-0 · +6.5 NE Patriots 1-2 - 1-2 · −1.6 NYJ Jets 1-2 - 1-2 · −5.4 MIA Dolphins 0-3 - 0-3 · −1.3 Whole conference →INJURIES, AND WHAT THEY COST US
T.J. Sanders DE DE D · illness D
Christian Benford CB CB Q · toe Q
Ray Davis RB RB Q · hamstring Q
Impact, the rating change with that player out, is not published yet.
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4 PROJECTIONS
KEY PLAYERS, WEEK 4
J.Allen QB 20.6 QB1
J.Cook RB 14.0 RB7
K.Shakir WR 6.9 WR35
D.Moore WR 5.9 WR47
D.Kincaid TE 6.7 TE14
Depth chart, 55 on the roster → SEASON SO FAR
Points for / against per game 33.7 / 26.0
Point diff per game +7.7
Home · Away · Division 2-0 · 1-0 · 0-0
Strength of schedule, remaining 18th
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · 7:45 PM ET · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54
Week 4 · published Sun Oct 4 · run 2026-04-reprice-122ddd54